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Trump holds meetings with Central Asian Countries

What will Trump say during the C5+1 Summit?

Not held (all words NO)

Thu, Nov 6

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump

0 said 25 not said of 25 words

Not held 4 of 76 past Trump events, 1 of 43 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 208 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore54¢ All52/62 84% Speeches / ceremonies32/37 86% Official speeches / ceremonies137/208 66% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All28/42 67% Speeches / ceremonies18/25 72% Official speeches / ceremonies114/208 55% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore30¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies21/208 10% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore65¢ All30/35 86% Speeches / ceremonies21/26 81% Official speeches / ceremonies116/208 56% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All2/16 13% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies12/208 6% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All16/23 70% Speeches / ceremonies10/14 71% Official speeches / ceremonies120/208 58% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All14/19 74% Speeches / ceremonies8/8 100% Official speeches / ceremonies82/208 39% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/208 8% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All24/39 62% Speeches / ceremonies19/22 86% Official speeches / ceremonies71/208 34% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies30/208 14% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All9/15 60% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies78/208 38% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All6/9 67% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies82/208 39% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/7 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies9/208 4% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All19/29 66% Speeches / ceremonies10/16 63% Official speeches / ceremonies63/208 30% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore39¢ All5/17 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/8 25% Official speeches / ceremonies64/208 31% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All12/29 41% Speeches / ceremonies7/16 44% Official speeches / ceremonies71/208 34% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies29/208 14% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All11/23 48% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies99/208 48% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All11/29 38% Speeches / ceremonies5/16 31% Official speeches / ceremonies21/208 10% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies38/208 18% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/208 17% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All28/34 82% Speeches / ceremonies17/18 94% Official speeches / ceremonies115/208 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/208 17% Y Y N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All9/10 90% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies112/208 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore37¢ All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies114/208 55% N Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of C5+1 Summit on November 6th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the C5+1 Summit on November 6th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the C5+1 Summit on November 6th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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