mentions

Trump delivers video message to the March for Life

What will Trump say during his address to March for Life?

Held

Fri, Jan 23

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

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Also now Trump +2 later

5 said 10 not said of 15 words

Not held 13 of 141 past Trump events, 7 of 81 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 256 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore74¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/256 1% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/256 2% —
NO Before startBefore60¢ All94/115 82% Speeches / ceremonies53/66 80% Official speeches / ceremonies165/256 64% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All44/58 76% Speeches / ceremonies26/34 76% Official speeches / ceremonies132/256 52% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/256 15% Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies135/256 53% —
NO Before startBefore15¢ All7/11 64% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/256 4% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All56/90 62% Speeches / ceremonies39/51 76% Official speeches / ceremonies97/256 38% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/256 1% —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/256 3% —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All14/31 45% Speeches / ceremonies6/17 35% Official speeches / ceremonies61/256 24% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All2/9 22% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/256 5% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore80¢ All3/10 30% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies46/256 18% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All1/13 8% Speeches / ceremonies0/9 0% Official speeches / ceremonies44/256 17% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/256 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast, stream or video release will be used to resolve this event.
  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast, stream or video release will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of video address to the March for Life, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the video address to the March for Life will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the video address to the March for Life will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast, stream or video release will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast, stream or video release will not count.

Cases

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