mentions

Trump speaks at the World Economic Forum

What will Trump say during his address at the WEF?

Held

Wed, Jan 21

8:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks and a Question-and-Answer Session at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland

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Also now Trump +1 later

17 said 1 not said of 18 words

Not held 12 of 136 past Trump events, 7 of 79 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 254 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore64¢ All13/34 38% Speeches / ceremonies8/19 42% Official speeches / ceremonies25/254 10% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All10/17 59% Speeches / ceremonies9/12 75% Official speeches / ceremonies79/254 31% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All91/111 82% Speeches / ceremonies51/64 80% Official speeches / ceremonies163/254 64% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All41/64 64% Speeches / ceremonies24/37 65% Official speeches / ceremonies136/254 54% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All50/71 70% Speeches / ceremonies33/47 70% Official speeches / ceremonies136/254 54% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore19¢ All2/54 4% Speeches / ceremonies2/34 6% Official speeches / ceremonies12/254 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All16/23 70% Speeches / ceremonies9/15 60% Official speeches / ceremonies28/254 11% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/254 4% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All53/87 61% Speeches / ceremonies38/50 76% Official speeches / ceremonies95/254 37% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies113/254 44% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All5/12 42% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies35/254 14% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All7/16 44% Speeches / ceremonies0/7 0% Official speeches / ceremonies51/254 20% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All37/54 69% Speeches / ceremonies18/29 62% Official speeches / ceremonies81/254 32% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies107/254 42% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All7/14 50% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies53/254 21% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All56/75 75% Speeches / ceremonies34/43 79% Official speeches / ceremonies142/254 56% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All41/46 89% Speeches / ceremonies27/29 93% Official speeches / ceremonies141/254 56% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All15/29 52% Speeches / ceremonies9/21 43% Official speeches / ceremonies97/254 38% N Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Special Address at WEF, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Special Address at WEF will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Special Address at WEF will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

Cases

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