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Trump holds bilateral with the Prime Minister of India

What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Prime Minister of India?

Held

Wed, Jun 17

8:45 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India and an Exchange With Reporters in Évian-les-Bains, France

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

10 said 13 not said of 23 words

Not held 23 of 245 past Trump events, 9 of 43 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 102 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore32¢ All19/34 56% Meetings3/6 50% Official meetings10/102 10% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All5/24 21% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings8/102 8% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All30/73 41% Meetings3/10 30% Official meetings29/102 28% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore35¢ All7/20 35% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings12/102 12% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All149/201 74% Meetings26/32 81% Official meetings66/102 65% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore31¢ All9/11 82% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings62/102 61% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All5/137 4% Meetings0/21 0% Official meetings1/102 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All3/3 100% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings3/102 3% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All31/53 58% Meetings4/7 57% Official meetings33/102 32% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All9/30 30% Meetings1/7 14% Official meetings2/102 2% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All98/176 56% Meetings11/29 38% Official meetings20/102 20% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore58¢ All3/3 100% Meetings— Official meetings45/102 44% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All15/15 100% Meetings5/5 100% Official meetings25/102 25% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore27¢ All20/40 50% Meetings3/7 43% Official meetings35/102 34% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore35¢ All12/21 57% Meetings3/7 43% Official meetings30/102 29% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All74/103 72% Meetings14/18 78% Official meetings46/102 45% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All33/58 57% Meetings10/12 83% Official meetings37/102 36% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/4 50% Meetings— Official meetings25/102 25% N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All45/76 59% Meetings6/10 60% Official meetings18/102 18% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All91/134 68% Meetings19/27 70% Official meetings59/102 58% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore9¢ All17/52 33% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings13/102 13% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All67/86 78% Meetings8/14 57% Official meetings56/102 55% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore36¢ All22/44 50% Meetings6/8 75% Official meetings63/102 62% N Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of India, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of India will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of India will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker