mentions

Trump holds a rally in NY

What will Trump say during his remarks in New York?

Held

Fri, May 22

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on the National Economy in Suffern, New York

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

31 said 18 not said of 49 words

Not held 21 of 229 past Trump events, 10 of 138 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 329 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore66¢ All15/22 68% Speeches / ceremonies13/18 72% Official speeches / ceremonies87/329 26% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All2/16 13% Speeches / ceremonies2/11 18% Official speeches / ceremonies50/329 15% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All27/61 44% Speeches / ceremonies21/40 53% Official speeches / ceremonies100/329 30% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All1/9 11% Speeches / ceremonies1/9 11% Official speeches / ceremonies26/329 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All17/42 40% Speeches / ceremonies13/34 38% Official speeches / ceremonies40/329 12% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All2/13 15% Speeches / ceremonies1/9 11% Official speeches / ceremonies27/329 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All138/188 73% Speeches / ceremonies81/114 71% Official speeches / ceremonies208/329 63% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All53/79 67% Speeches / ceremonies30/45 67% Official speeches / ceremonies183/329 56% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/329 1% —
NO Before startBefore13¢ All7/32 22% Speeches / ceremonies2/16 13% Official speeches / ceremonies29/329 9% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/329 8% N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies174/329 53% N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies43/329 13% —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/125 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/82 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/329 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies11/329 3% —
YES Before startBefore95¢ All83/119 70% Speeches / ceremonies48/74 65% Official speeches / ceremonies176/329 53% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/329 5% N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/329 0% —
NO Before startBefore39¢ All31/50 62% Speeches / ceremonies17/31 55% Official speeches / ceremonies44/329 13% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All50/74 68% Speeches / ceremonies35/50 70% Official speeches / ceremonies197/329 60% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore21¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies7/329 2% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore78¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies45/329 14% —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All24/42 57% Speeches / ceremonies14/28 50% Official speeches / ceremonies115/329 35% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies138/329 42% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All6/23 26% Speeches / ceremonies6/17 35% Official speeches / ceremonies58/329 18% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore20¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies59/329 18% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies125/329 38% —
YES Before startBefore77¢ All15/24 63% Speeches / ceremonies12/19 63% Official speeches / ceremonies51/329 16% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All92/164 56% Speeches / ceremonies68/102 67% Official speeches / ceremonies131/329 40% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All13/36 36% Speeches / ceremonies7/20 35% Official speeches / ceremonies52/329 16% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies79/329 24% —
NO Before startBefore73¢ All15/30 50% Speeches / ceremonies9/22 41% Official speeches / ceremonies92/329 28% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore57¢ All2/12 17% Speeches / ceremonies2/12 17% Official speeches / ceremonies23/329 7% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies42/329 13% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Official speeches / ceremonies77/329 23% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All68/97 70% Speeches / ceremonies37/56 66% Official speeches / ceremonies127/329 39% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All19/33 58% Speeches / ceremonies10/17 59% Official speeches / ceremonies153/329 47% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/329 6% Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies85/329 26% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All37/63 59% Speeches / ceremonies25/43 58% Official speeches / ceremonies86/329 26% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All86/126 68% Speeches / ceremonies56/79 71% Official speeches / ceremonies181/329 55% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All12/43 28% Speeches / ceremonies9/33 27% Official speeches / ceremonies67/329 20% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All66/84 79% Speeches / ceremonies48/57 84% Official speeches / ceremonies176/329 53% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All26/39 67% Speeches / ceremonies17/21 81% Official speeches / ceremonies193/329 59% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/329 5% N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/329 1% N Y
YES Before startBefore40¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/329 1% N N
NO Before startBefore62¢ All2/9 22% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies50/329 15% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies3/329 1% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Suffern, New York, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks in Suffern, New York will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks in Suffern, New York will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker