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Trump joins Fox News: Hannity

What will Trump say during his Fox News interview?

Held

Thu, May 14

9:00 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

17 said 6 not said of 23 words

Not held 21 of 220 past Trump events, 1 of 25 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore49¢ All24/53 45% Interviews3/10 30% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All133/180 74% Interviews16/23 70% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All3/8 38% Interviews2/3 67% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/116 4% Interviews0/18 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All4/17 24% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% —
YES Before startBefore41¢ All2/2 100% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y
YES Before startBefore38¢ All6/18 33% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All8/22 36% Interviews3/4 75% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore54¢ All86/155 55% Interviews6/18 33% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore92¢ All3/7 43% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All5/18 28% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All61/90 68% Interviews9/13 69% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All16/28 57% Interviews5/6 83% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All2/5 40% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore35¢ All31/54 57% Interviews7/10 70% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All11/31 35% Interviews0/3 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All1/7 14% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All82/120 68% Interviews7/13 54% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore39¢ All4/7 57% Interviews2/2 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News: Hannity, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: Hannity will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Hannity will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker