mentions

Trump holds Wisconsin roundtable

What will Trump say during his Wisconsin roundtable?

Held

Fri, Jun 5

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks in a Roundtable Discussion on Agriculture in Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin

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Also now Bernie Sanders Trump +2 later

20 said 6 not said of 26 words

Not held 21 of 233 past Trump events, 10 of 140 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 335 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore63¢ All4/19 21% Speeches / ceremonies4/13 31% Official speeches / ceremonies52/335 16% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All28/65 43% Speeches / ceremonies22/42 52% Official speeches / ceremonies103/335 31% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore75¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/335 4% Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All1/10 10% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies16/335 5% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All141/191 74% Speeches / ceremonies83/116 72% Official speeches / ceremonies212/335 63% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All17/25 68% Speeches / ceremonies15/20 75% Official speeches / ceremonies90/335 27% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/335 10% —
YES Before startBefore90¢ All6/8 75% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies177/335 53% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/335 1% Y
YES Before startBefore96¢ All87/123 71% Speeches / ceremonies50/76 66% Official speeches / ceremonies179/335 53% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/335 1% Y
YES Before startBefore75¢ All7/13 54% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies53/335 16% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All54/78 69% Speeches / ceremonies37/52 71% Official speeches / ceremonies200/335 60% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All28/46 61% Speeches / ceremonies16/30 53% Official speeches / ceremonies118/335 35% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/335 0% N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All7/9 78% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies142/335 42% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All94/168 56% Speeches / ceremonies69/104 66% Official speeches / ceremonies134/335 40% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All15/32 47% Speeches / ceremonies10/20 50% Official speeches / ceremonies146/335 44% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All11/16 69% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies138/335 41% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All3/13 23% Speeches / ceremonies3/13 23% Official speeches / ceremonies24/335 7% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All21/35 60% Speeches / ceremonies11/18 61% Official speeches / ceremonies155/335 46% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/335 2% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All89/130 68% Speeches / ceremonies58/81 72% Official speeches / ceremonies184/335 55% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All14/46 30% Speeches / ceremonies10/34 29% Official speeches / ceremonies70/335 21% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/335 4% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All5/16 31% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies19/335 6% Y N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Roundtable Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Roundtable Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Roundtable Chippewa Falls, Wisconsin will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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