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Trump delivers keynote address at Coast Guard Academy Commencement

What will Trump say during his keynote address at Coast Guard Academy Commencement?

Held

Wed, May 20

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Commencement Address at the United States Coast Guard Academy in New London, Connecticut

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

18 said 12 not said of 30 words

Not held 21 of 226 past Trump events, 10 of 135 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 326 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore88¢ All15/21 71% Speeches / ceremonies13/17 76% Official speeches / ceremonies87/326 27% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All26/59 44% Speeches / ceremonies20/38 53% Official speeches / ceremonies98/326 30% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All9/25 36% Speeches / ceremonies6/18 33% Official speeches / ceremonies42/326 13% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All52/78 67% Speeches / ceremonies29/44 66% Official speeches / ceremonies181/326 56% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All5/122 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/79 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/326 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore38¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies3/8 38% Official speeches / ceremonies14/326 4% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies39/326 12% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All82/116 71% Speeches / ceremonies47/71 66% Official speeches / ceremonies175/326 54% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies149/326 46% —
NO Before startBefore29¢ All31/49 63% Speeches / ceremonies17/30 57% Official speeches / ceremonies44/326 13% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All48/71 68% Speeches / ceremonies33/47 70% Official speeches / ceremonies195/326 60% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All23/41 56% Speeches / ceremonies13/27 48% Official speeches / ceremonies112/326 34% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies136/326 42% Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore47¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies3/8 38% Official speeches / ceremonies26/326 8% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All9/23 39% Speeches / ceremonies4/13 31% Official speeches / ceremonies14/326 4% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All89/161 55% Speeches / ceremonies65/99 66% Official speeches / ceremonies129/326 40% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All12/35 34% Speeches / ceremonies6/19 32% Official speeches / ceremonies51/326 16% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies131/326 40% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/326 0% —
YES Before startBefore42¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies37/326 11% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/326 1% —
YES Before startBefore94¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies45/326 14% —
YES Before startBefore47¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies141/326 43% Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All9/17 53% Speeches / ceremonies6/12 50% Official speeches / ceremonies43/326 13% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/326 12% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All35/60 58% Speeches / ceremonies23/40 58% Official speeches / ceremonies84/326 26% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies48/326 15% N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All11/40 28% Speeches / ceremonies8/30 27% Official speeches / ceremonies66/326 20% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All64/82 78% Speeches / ceremonies46/55 84% Official speeches / ceremonies174/326 53% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All11/16 69% Speeches / ceremonies8/12 67% Official speeches / ceremonies91/326 28% Y Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of keynote address at Coast Guard Academy Commencement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the keynote address at Coast Guard Academy Commencement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the keynote address at Coast Guard Academy Commencement will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker