mentions.tools

We moved to mentions.tools. Your data stays here until you .

Trump holds Midterm Rally in Dalton, Georgia

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

Held

Fri, Oct 16

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

25 said 16 not said of 41 words

Not held 27 of 354 past Trump events, 0 of 16 rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Rallies Official rallies · 5 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore95¢ All29/98 30% Rallies10/11 91% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All59/168 35% Rallies4/13 31% Official rallies0/5 0% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All25/86 29% Rallies6/15 40% Official rallies3/5 60% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All34/83 41% Rallies8/13 62% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore27¢ All8/24 33% Rallies2/8 25% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All9/93 10% Rallies0/11 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All18/36 50% Rallies11/14 79% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All62/96 65% Rallies9/11 82% Official rallies4/5 80% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/230 4% Rallies0/14 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All2/21 10% Rallies1/10 10% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All2/13 15% Rallies0/10 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All14/23 61% Rallies10/10 100% Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All12/44 27% Rallies6/15 40% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All12/44 27% Rallies3/12 25% Official rallies2/5 40% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/5 0% Rallies0/5 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore32¢ All10/22 45% Rallies5/9 56% Official rallies2/5 40% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All32/53 60% Rallies11/13 85% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore8¢ All5/8 63% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All27/79 34% Rallies5/11 45% Official rallies2/5 40% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore75¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies1/5 20% —
YES Before startBefore88¢ All14/36 39% Rallies10/11 91% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All15/23 65% Rallies8/11 73% Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore25¢ All46/100 46% Rallies3/9 33% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All9/23 39% Rallies6/10 60% Official rallies2/5 40% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All10/19 53% Rallies8/10 80% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All5/16 31% Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore18¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% —
YES Before startBefore98¢ All77/116 66% Rallies11/12 92% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies1/5 20% —
NO Before startBefore7¢ All1/7 14% Rallies1/7 14% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All2/19 11% Rallies0/7 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All9/18 50% Rallies6/11 55% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All8/15 53% Rallies5/10 50% Official rallies2/5 40% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All36/65 55% Rallies11/12 92% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All19/37 51% Rallies9/13 69% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All8/15 53% Rallies1/2 50% small n Official rallies2/5 40% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All35/77 45% Rallies9/14 64% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All52/125 42% Rallies13/14 93% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All2/15 13% Rallies0/9 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All9/27 33% Rallies0/10 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Midterm Rally at Dalton, Georgia originally scheduled for October 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Midterm Rally at Dalton, Georgia originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally at Dalton, Georgia originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker