mentions

Trump delivers remarks at Anduril Industries

What will Trump say during his remarks at Anduril Industries?

Held

Tue, Oct 6

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

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Also now Trump +2 later

21 said 11 not said of 32 words

Not held 27 of 344 past Trump events, 12 of 195 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 403 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore60¢ All56/159 35% Speeches / ceremonies38/89 43% Official speeches / ceremonies123/403 31% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/403 0% —
NO Before startBefore93¢ All209/287 73% Speeches / ceremonies119/167 71% Official speeches / ceremonies253/403 63% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All6/16 38% Speeches / ceremonies1/7 14% Official speeches / ceremonies29/403 7% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All55/87 63% Speeches / ceremonies35/52 67% Official speeches / ceremonies215/403 53% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/403 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/403 1% —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All12/37 32% Speeches / ceremonies3/17 18% Official speeches / ceremonies54/403 13% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All2/17 12% Speeches / ceremonies1/15 7% Official speeches / ceremonies43/403 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies19/403 5% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All26/45 58% Speeches / ceremonies17/29 59% Official speeches / ceremonies64/403 16% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All23/72 32% Speeches / ceremonies10/36 28% Official speeches / ceremonies35/403 9% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All133/258 52% Speeches / ceremonies96/150 64% Official speeches / ceremonies163/403 40% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All20/33 61% Speeches / ceremonies14/19 74% Official speeches / ceremonies186/403 46% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies38/403 9% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All21/48 44% Speeches / ceremonies10/24 42% Official speeches / ceremonies92/403 23% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All5/13 38% Speeches / ceremonies5/12 42% Official speeches / ceremonies72/403 18% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore27¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies27/403 7% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore65¢ All5/14 36% Speeches / ceremonies4/13 31% Official speeches / ceremonies45/403 11% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies106/403 26% Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All96/134 72% Speeches / ceremonies52/78 67% Official speeches / ceremonies169/403 42% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/403 1% —
YES Before startBefore72¢ All15/25 60% Speeches / ceremonies7/12 58% Official speeches / ceremonies161/403 40% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All30/57 53% Speeches / ceremonies9/22 41% Official speeches / ceremonies41/403 10% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/403 4% —
YES Before startBefore69¢ All7/13 54% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies49/403 12% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All81/161 50% Speeches / ceremonies46/92 50% Official speeches / ceremonies115/403 29% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies25/403 6% Y Y
YES Before startBefore18¢ All2/17 12% Speeches / ceremonies1/9 11% Official speeches / ceremonies26/403 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All127/196 65% Speeches / ceremonies82/118 69% Official speeches / ceremonies219/403 54% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore32¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies128/403 32% —
YES Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies25/403 6% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks at Anduril Industries originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the remarks at Anduril Industries originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Anduril Industries originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker