Trump delivers State of the Union

Who will Trump mention during his State of the Union address?

Held

Tue, Feb 24

9:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Address Before a Joint Session of the Congress on the State of the Union

Also now Trump +2 later

8 said 39 not said of 47 words

Not held 16 of 166 past Trump events, 8 of 95 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 272 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore3¢ All0/9 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies0/272 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/272 13% —
NO Before startBefore32¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/272 4% N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All105/136 77% Speeches / ceremonies60/79 76% Official speeches / ceremonies175/272 64% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/272 3% —
NO Before startBefore18¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/272 4% —
YES Before startBefore68¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/272 3% Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/272 12% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All4/32 13% Speeches / ceremonies1/20 5% Official speeches / ceremonies4/272 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/272 0% —
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies22/272 8% —
NO Before startBefore61¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies41/272 15% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies44/272 16% —
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies61/272 22% —
YES Before startBefore40¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies18/272 7% —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/272 0% N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/272 10% N N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/272 5% —
NO Before startBefore47¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/272 7% N N Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/272 1% Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/272 1% —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies54/272 20% —
NO Before startBefore50¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/272 10% N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All4/23 17% Speeches / ceremonies2/12 17% Official speeches / ceremonies8/272 3% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/272 24% N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/272 6% Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/272 7% —
NO Before startBefore16¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/272 1% —
NO Before startBefore38¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies55/272 20% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore53¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies50/272 18% —
YES Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/272 5% —
NO Before startBefore8¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/272 3% —
NO Before startBefore56¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies56/272 21% N N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/272 0% —
NO Before startBefore8¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/272 0% —
NO Before startBefore48¢ All14/31 45% Speeches / ceremonies8/17 47% Official speeches / ceremonies83/272 31% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/272 8% —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/272 0% —
NO Before startBefore26¢ All5/18 28% Speeches / ceremonies2/12 17% Official speeches / ceremonies15/272 6% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore51¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies38/272 14% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/272 5% —
NO Before startBefore18¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies12/272 4% —
NO Before startBefore15¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/272 1% Y N N N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/272 0% —
YES Before startBefore52¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies30/272 11% —
NO Before startBefore38¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies37/272 14% —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/272 1% N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of 2026 State of the Union, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the 2026 State of the Union will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the 2026 State of the Union will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.