mentions

Trump holds Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York

What will Trump say during his rally in New York?

Held

Fri, Oct 9

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

20 said 18 not said of 38 words

Not held 27 of 348 past Trump events, 0 of 11 rallies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Rallies Official rallies · 5 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore82¢ All24/92 26% Rallies5/6 83% Official rallies3/5 60% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All58/162 36% Rallies3/8 38% Official rallies0/5 0% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All24/80 30% Rallies5/10 50% Official rallies3/5 60% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All30/78 38% Rallies4/8 50% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore60¢ All7/19 37% Rallies1/3 33% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All9/88 10% Rallies0/6 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All13/31 42% Rallies6/9 67% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All57/90 63% Rallies4/6 67% Official rallies4/5 80% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore2¢ All9/224 4% Rallies0/9 0% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All2/16 13% Rallies1/5 20% Official rallies0/5 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All2/8 25% Rallies0/5 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All9/18 50% Rallies5/5 100% Official rallies1/5 20% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All10/39 26% Rallies4/10 40% Official rallies1/5 20% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All68/120 57% Rallies8/9 89% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All11/39 28% Rallies2/7 29% Official rallies2/5 40% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% —
NO Before startBefore40¢ All9/17 53% Rallies4/4 100% small n Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All27/48 56% Rallies6/8 75% Official rallies3/5 60% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore96¢ All— Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% —
YES Before startBefore65¢ All25/74 34% Rallies3/6 50% Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All9/31 29% Rallies5/6 83% Official rallies3/5 60% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All10/18 56% Rallies3/6 50% Official rallies2/5 40% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All45/95 47% Rallies2/4 50% small n Official rallies1/5 20% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All6/18 33% Rallies3/5 60% Official rallies2/5 40% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All7/14 50% Rallies5/5 100% Official rallies1/5 20% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All1/1 100% Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All72/111 65% Rallies7/8 88% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All0/2 0% Rallies0/2 0% small n Official rallies0/5 0% N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All2/14 14% Rallies0/2 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All6/13 46% Rallies3/6 50% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All5/10 50% Rallies2/5 40% Official rallies2/5 40% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All31/59 53% Rallies6/7 86% Official rallies3/5 60% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All14/32 44% Rallies4/8 50% Official rallies3/5 60% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All31/72 43% Rallies5/9 56% Official rallies3/5 60% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All46/119 39% Rallies8/9 89% Official rallies4/5 80% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All2/10 20% Rallies0/4 0% small n Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All9/22 41% Rallies0/5 0% Official rallies1/5 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All1/14 7% Rallies— Official rallies0/5 0% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Syracuse, New York originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker