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Trump swears in the ambassador to India

What will Trump say during the ceremony for the Ambassador to India?

Held

Mon, Nov 10

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Swearing-in Ceremony for Sergio Gor as United States Ambassador to India and Special Envoy to South and Central Asia and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

10 said 11 not said of 21 words

Not held 6 of 80 past Trump events, 2 of 45 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 213 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore14¢ All54/64 84% Speeches / ceremonies33/38 87% Official speeches / ceremonies139/213 65% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All28/43 65% Speeches / ceremonies18/26 69% Official speeches / ceremonies115/213 54% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore6¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies95/213 45% Y
YES Before startBefore13¢ All32/37 86% Speeches / ceremonies22/27 81% Official speeches / ceremonies118/213 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All2/18 11% Speeches / ceremonies2/11 18% Official speeches / ceremonies12/213 6% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies65/213 31% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore35¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/213 8% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All25/41 61% Speeches / ceremonies19/23 83% Official speeches / ceremonies72/213 34% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All6/12 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies30/213 14% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore26¢ All11/17 65% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies80/213 38% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore20¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/213 6% Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All21/31 68% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies65/213 31% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore24¢ All5/18 28% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies65/213 31% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/17 6% Speeches / ceremonies0/6 0% Official speeches / ceremonies23/213 11% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All5/15 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/9 22% Official speeches / ceremonies12/213 6% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All13/31 42% Speeches / ceremonies6/17 35% Official speeches / ceremonies23/213 11% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All5/6 83% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies38/213 18% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore11¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/213 17% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore24¢ All30/36 83% Speeches / ceremonies18/19 95% Official speeches / ceremonies117/213 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore29¢ All11/12 92% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies114/213 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All4/15 27% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies55/213 26% N N N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Swearing-in Ceremony for the Ambassador to the Republic of India, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Swearing-in Ceremony for the Ambassador to the Republic of India will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Swearing-in Ceremony for the Ambassador to the Republic of India will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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