mentions

JD Vance joins The Will Cain Show

What will JD Vance say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show?

Held

Thu, Aug 13

4:00 PM ET /

JD Vance

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

8 said 15 not said of 23 words

Not held 3 of 54 past JD Vance events, 0 of 20 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Interviews Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore17¢ All5/15 33% Interviews2/10 20% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore65¢ All14/29 48% Interviews3/14 21% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All4/32 13% Interviews1/11 9% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore28¢ All3/30 10% Interviews1/13 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All12/20 60% Interviews2/7 29% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All2/6 33% Interviews0/4 0% small n N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All4/7 57% Interviews0/1 0% small n N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All— Interviews— —
NO Before startBefore76¢ All9/22 41% Interviews5/13 38% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All14/28 50% Interviews5/16 31% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore47¢ All5/11 45% Interviews3/7 43% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore71¢ All17/26 65% Interviews8/12 67% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All4/7 57% Interviews2/2 100% small n Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All6/27 22% Interviews4/12 33% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All2/6 33% Interviews1/5 20% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All6/12 50% Interviews2/4 50% small n Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All9/18 50% Interviews6/12 50% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore43¢ All0/15 0% Interviews0/6 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All2/2 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/1 100% Interviews1/1 100% small n Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All13/27 48% Interviews9/12 75% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore89¢ All6/9 67% Interviews5/8 63% N Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Fox News: The Will Cain Show, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: The Will Cain Show will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: The Will Cain Show will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — JD Vance must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker