mentions.tools

We moved to mentions.tools. Your data stays here until you .

JD Vance speaks in Council Bluffs

What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Iowa ?

Held

Fri, Sep 18

1:10 PM ET /

JD Vance

Rally

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

10 said 16 not said of 26 words

Not held 3 of 62 past JD Vance events

Choose events
Word Result Before start All JD Vance events Rallies Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore51¢ All7/20 35% Rallies— N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore87¢ All20/37 54% Rallies— Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All6/38 16% Rallies— N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore19¢ All4/38 11% Rallies— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All13/24 54% Rallies— N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All35/53 66% Rallies— Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All11/19 58% Rallies— Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All9/15 60% Rallies— N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore25¢ All— Rallies— —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All30/40 75% Rallies— Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All3/8 38% Rallies— N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All15/30 50% Rallies— Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All0/5 0% Rallies— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All1/10 10% Rallies— N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All21/34 62% Rallies— N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore49¢ All8/13 62% Rallies— N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All1/1 100% Rallies— Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All6/30 20% Rallies— N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/7 0% Rallies— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All— Rallies— —
NO Before startBefore45¢ All12/26 46% Rallies— N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/20 0% Rallies— N N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All3/3 100% Rallies— Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All12/21 57% Rallies— N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore90¢ All8/9 89% Rallies— Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All3/14 21% Rallies— N N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past JD Vance events where the word was a market.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If JD Vance says {word} as part of Midterm Rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the Midterm Rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Midterm Rally in Council Bluffs, Iowa will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker