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Trump Roundtable on ANTIFA

What will Trump say during the Roundtable on ANTIFA?

Held

Wed, Oct 8

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks in a Roundtable Discussion on the "Antifa" Organization and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +2 later

12 said 13 not said of 25 words

Not held 2 of 44 past Trump events, 0 of 25 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 183 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore19¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/183 3% —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All29/32 91% Speeches / ceremonies18/20 90% Official speeches / ceremonies123/183 67% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All12/18 67% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies102/183 56% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore59¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies9/183 5% N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies134/183 73% Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All7/9 78% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies89/183 49% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies56/183 31% N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies36/183 20% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All8/11 73% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies56/183 31% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies30/183 16% —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies32/183 17% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/183 22% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies20/183 11% —
NO Before startBefore43¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/183 4% N N N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All2/10 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies57/183 31% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies55/183 30% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore56¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/183 1% Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/183 5% N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All8/14 57% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies64/183 35% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/183 1% Y
YES Before startBefore20¢ All4/12 33% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies89/183 49% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore78¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies17/183 9% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/183 2% —
NO Before startBefore42¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/183 1% —
NO Before startBefore38¢ All0/7 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies32/183 17% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Roundtable on ANTIFA on October 8th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Roundtable on ANTIFA on October 8th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Roundtable on ANTIFA on October 8th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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