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Oval Office Announcement

What will Trump say during the Oval Office announcement?

Held

Fri, Oct 10

5:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Prescription Drug Prices and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

13 said 15 not said of 28 words

Not held 2 of 47 past Trump events, 0 of 26 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 184 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore59¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/184 3% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore76¢ All32/35 91% Speeches / ceremonies19/21 90% Official speeches / ceremonies124/184 67% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All15/21 71% Speeches / ceremonies8/12 67% Official speeches / ceremonies103/184 56% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore51¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/184 15% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All5/5 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies135/184 73% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All9/11 82% Speeches / ceremonies5/7 71% Official speeches / ceremonies90/184 49% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies69/184 38% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore71¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies56/184 30% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies58/184 32% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All5/9 56% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/184 20% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore86¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies46/184 25% N
YES Before startBefore43¢ All9/13 69% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies57/184 31% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All7/14 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/7 57% Official speeches / ceremonies51/184 28% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/184 15% Y Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/184 9% —
YES Before startBefore70¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies109/184 59% Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies33/184 18% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore54¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/184 2% —
YES Before startBefore84¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies20/184 11% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies11/184 6% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/184 24% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies19/184 10% N N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies8/184 4% Y N
NO Before startBefore87¢ All5/8 63% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies17/184 9% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All15/19 79% Speeches / ceremonies7/8 88% Official speeches / ceremonies101/184 55% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/184 18% Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/184 1% Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All2/8 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies25/184 14% Y N Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Oval Office announcement on October 10th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Oval Office announcement on October 10th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Oval Office announcement on October 10th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

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