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Trump signs Executive Orders

Mention: Trump signs Executive Orders

Not held (all words NO)

Fri, Feb 6

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +2 later

0 said 20 not said of 20 words

Not held 14 of 153 past Trump events, 7 of 88 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 265 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore11¢ All19/47 40% Speeches / ceremonies11/26 42% Official speeches / ceremonies29/265 11% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All14/27 52% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies83/265 31% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All99/126 79% Speeches / ceremonies55/73 75% Official speeches / ceremonies170/265 64% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies62/265 23% N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All3/67 4% Speeches / ceremonies3/41 7% Official speeches / ceremonies14/265 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All50/66 76% Speeches / ceremonies28/38 74% Official speeches / ceremonies139/265 52% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore5¢ All22/34 65% Speeches / ceremonies12/20 60% Official speeches / ceremonies33/265 12% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All35/52 67% Speeches / ceremonies23/34 68% Official speeches / ceremonies155/265 58% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All4/22 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/14 7% Official speeches / ceremonies4/265 2% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore8¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies49/265 18% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore6¢ All58/100 58% Speeches / ceremonies41/57 72% Official speeches / ceremonies100/265 38% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All8/19 42% Speeches / ceremonies2/11 18% Official speeches / ceremonies81/265 31% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All16/29 55% Speeches / ceremonies11/18 61% Official speeches / ceremonies91/265 34% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies51/265 19% —
NO Before startBefore6¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies33/265 12% —
NO Before startBefore10¢ All44/63 70% Speeches / ceremonies21/34 62% Official speeches / ceremonies84/265 32% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All4/14 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies14/265 5% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All63/83 76% Speeches / ceremonies39/48 81% Official speeches / ceremonies150/265 57% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/265 3% Y Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies35/265 13% N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The President signs Executive Orders, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The President signs Executive Orders will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The President signs Executive Orders will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

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