mentions

Trump holds a Cabinet Meeting

What will Trump say during his Cabinet Meeting?

Held

Thu, Jan 29

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks in a Cabinet Meeting

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Also now Trump +2 later

16 said 12 not said of 28 words

Not held 13 of 145 past Trump events, 3 of 26 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 88 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore61¢ All17/40 43% Meetings2/6 33% Official meetings5/88 6% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All12/23 52% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings25/88 28% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All95/119 80% Meetings19/21 90% Official meetings58/88 66% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore82¢ All52/76 68% Meetings9/13 69% Official meetings50/88 57% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore73¢ All3/8 38% Meetings— Official meetings15/88 17% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All3/60 5% Meetings0/11 0% Official meetings1/88 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All46/61 75% Meetings9/13 69% Official meetings40/88 45% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All19/29 66% Meetings4/4 100% small n Official meetings10/88 11% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All1/4 25% Meetings— Official meetings20/88 23% N N Y N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All1/3 33% Meetings— Official meetings7/88 8% Y N N
NO Before startBefore62¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings6/88 7% —
YES Before startBefore44¢ All2/3 67% Meetings— Official meetings5/88 6% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All57/93 61% Meetings9/19 47% Official meetings18/88 20% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore56¢ All2/2 100% Meetings— Official meetings10/88 11% Y Y
NO Before startBefore83¢ All6/13 46% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings12/88 14% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore88¢ All17/21 81% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings36/88 41% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All43/60 72% Meetings9/11 82% Official meetings35/88 40% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All8/11 73% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings35/88 40% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings2/88 2% Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings0/88 0% Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All15/43 35% Meetings7/13 54% Official meetings11/88 13% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore47¢ All2/12 17% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings3/88 3% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All11/18 61% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings13/88 15% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All58/78 74% Meetings14/17 82% Official meetings52/88 59% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings2/88 2% —
YES Before startBefore52¢ All1/7 14% Meetings— Official meetings7/88 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All0/2 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings1/88 1% N N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings7/88 8% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Cabinet Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Cabinet Meeting will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Cabinet Meeting will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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