mentions

Trump at National Prayer Breakfast

Mention: Trump at National Prayer Breakfast

Held

Thu, Feb 5

8:30 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at the National Prayer Breakfast

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

14 said 7 not said of 21 words

Not held 14 of 151 past Trump events, 7 of 86 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 263 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore11¢ All18/45 40% Speeches / ceremonies10/24 42% Official speeches / ceremonies28/263 11% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All6/15 40% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies21/263 8% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore66¢ All98/124 79% Speeches / ceremonies54/71 76% Official speeches / ceremonies169/263 64% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All45/68 66% Speeches / ceremonies26/39 67% Official speeches / ceremonies144/263 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies113/263 43% —
NO Before startBefore5¢ All3/65 5% Speeches / ceremonies3/39 8% Official speeches / ceremonies14/263 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All3/6 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies44/263 17% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore30¢ All21/33 64% Speeches / ceremonies11/19 58% Official speeches / ceremonies32/263 12% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All34/51 67% Speeches / ceremonies22/33 67% Official speeches / ceremonies154/263 59% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All4/20 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/12 8% Official speeches / ceremonies4/263 2% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore32¢ All57/98 58% Speeches / ceremonies40/55 73% Official speeches / ceremonies99/263 38% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore22¢ All7/18 39% Speeches / ceremonies1/10 10% Official speeches / ceremonies80/263 30% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore26¢ All17/23 74% Speeches / ceremonies9/13 69% Official speeches / ceremonies84/263 32% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All11/23 48% Speeches / ceremonies6/12 50% Official speeches / ceremonies67/263 25% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/263 2% Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All44/62 71% Speeches / ceremonies21/33 64% Official speeches / ceremonies84/263 32% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore42¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies28/263 11% —
YES Before startBefore27¢ All61/81 75% Speeches / ceremonies37/46 80% Official speeches / ceremonies148/263 56% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore27¢ All1/14 7% Speeches / ceremonies0/10 0% Official speeches / ceremonies46/263 17% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore31¢ All47/54 87% Speeches / ceremonies31/33 94% Official speeches / ceremonies148/263 56% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore20¢ All17/32 53% Speeches / ceremonies10/22 45% Official speeches / ceremonies101/263 38% N Y Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of National Prayer Breakfast, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the National Prayer Breakfast will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the National Prayer Breakfast will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

Cases

All cases of this speaker