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Trump joins The Dan Bongino Show

What will Trump say on The Dan Bongino Show?

Held

Mon, Feb 2

11:30 AM ET /

Trump

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

4 said 12 not said of 16 words

Not held 13 of 147 past Trump events, 1 of 14 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All18/42 43% Interviews3/7 43% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All96/121 79% Interviews10/12 83% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All3/62 5% Interviews0/10 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All47/62 76% Interviews3/4 75% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All20/30 67% Interviews3/6 50% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All2/17 12% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All1/6 17% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All8/16 50% Interviews4/6 67% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All3/4 75% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All57/95 60% Interviews4/10 40% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All6/15 40% Interviews4/4 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% N Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/3 33% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All16/45 36% Interviews1/4 25% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore— All3/13 23% Interviews0/4 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All0/3 0% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The Dan Bongino Show, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The Dan Bongino Show will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the The Dan Bongino Show will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

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