mentions

Trump speaks in Pennsylvania

What will Trump say during his remarks in Pennsylvania?

Held

Tue, Dec 9

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on the National Economy in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania

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Also now Trump +2 later

27 said 5 not said of 32 words

Not held 8 of 107 past Trump events, 4 of 60 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 230 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore53¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies61/230 27% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All6/13 46% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies17/230 7% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All4/10 40% Speeches / ceremonies3/9 33% Official speeches / ceremonies29/230 13% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore56¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies39/230 17% N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/230 4% Y N
NO Before startBefore61¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/230 0% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All2/34 6% Speeches / ceremonies2/19 11% Official speeches / ceremonies12/230 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/230 1% N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/230 10% N Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/230 7% N N Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All5/14 36% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies68/230 30% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/230 1% —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies9/230 4% —
YES Before startBefore65¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/230 7% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore80¢ All39/65 60% Speeches / ceremonies28/36 78% Official speeches / ceremonies82/230 36% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies45/230 20% —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All7/23 30% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies31/230 13% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies98/230 43% Y N Y
YES Before startBefore77¢ All4/11 36% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies30/230 13% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies124/230 54% Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies60/230 26% N Y
YES Before startBefore57¢ All25/37 68% Speeches / ceremonies14/21 67% Official speeches / ceremonies70/230 30% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All10/22 45% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies54/230 23% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore45¢ All7/15 47% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies34/230 15% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore68¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies20/230 9% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/230 3% —
YES Before startBefore82¢ All6/13 46% Speeches / ceremonies5/9 56% Official speeches / ceremonies42/230 18% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All44/59 75% Speeches / ceremonies25/32 78% Official speeches / ceremonies124/230 54% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies40/230 17% —
YES Before startBefore92¢ All26/29 90% Speeches / ceremonies16/18 89% Official speeches / ceremonies123/230 53% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All9/16 56% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies126/230 55% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All12/23 52% Speeches / ceremonies6/15 40% Official speeches / ceremonies87/230 38% N Y Y N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Mount Pocono, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks in Mount Pocono will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Remarks in Mount Pocono will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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