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Trump holds Medal of Honor Ceremony

What will Trump say during the Medal of Honor Ceremony?

Held

Thu, Jun 18

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Presenting the Medal of Honor to Major James Capers, Jr., USMC (Ret.), Major Nicholas Dockery, USA (Ret.), and Posthumously to Colonel John W. Ripley, USMC

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +2 later

4 said 24 not said of 28 words

Not held 23 of 247 past Trump events, 10 of 142 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 339 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore58¢ All20/36 56% Speeches / ceremonies14/20 70% Official speeches / ceremonies89/339 26% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All32/75 43% Speeches / ceremonies23/43 53% Official speeches / ceremonies105/339 31% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/339 2% N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies50/339 15% Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All17/47 36% Speeches / ceremonies13/37 35% Official speeches / ceremonies40/339 12% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All9/22 41% Speeches / ceremonies3/12 25% Official speeches / ceremonies32/339 9% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All150/203 74% Speeches / ceremonies85/118 72% Official speeches / ceremonies215/339 63% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/139 4% Speeches / ceremonies5/85 6% Official speeches / ceremonies17/339 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore58¢ All94/132 71% Speeches / ceremonies51/77 66% Official speeches / ceremonies182/339 54% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/339 5% N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All6/21 29% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies37/339 11% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies6/339 2% N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All56/82 68% Speeches / ceremonies38/53 72% Official speeches / ceremonies203/339 60% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All12/17 71% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies145/339 43% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore94¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies67/339 20% —
NO Before startBefore59¢ All10/32 31% Speeches / ceremonies4/15 27% Official speeches / ceremonies16/339 5% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore73¢ All16/16 100% Speeches / ceremonies5/5 100% Official speeches / ceremonies86/339 25% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All22/42 52% Speeches / ceremonies10/25 40% Official speeches / ceremonies94/339 28% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All12/23 52% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies78/339 23% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore85¢ All75/104 72% Speeches / ceremonies39/58 67% Official speeches / ceremonies135/339 40% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All25/41 61% Speeches / ceremonies13/20 65% Official speeches / ceremonies158/339 47% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All16/29 55% Speeches / ceremonies10/17 59% Official speeches / ceremonies110/339 32% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore26¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/339 6% —
NO Before startBefore83¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/339 10% Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All46/78 59% Speeches / ceremonies27/46 59% Official speeches / ceremonies93/339 27% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/339 6% —
NO Before startBefore34¢ All4/16 25% Speeches / ceremonies3/11 27% Official speeches / ceremonies51/339 15% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/339 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Medal of Honor Ceremony, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Medal of Honor Ceremony will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Medal of Honor Ceremony will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker