mentions

Trump holds dinner with the UK King & Queen

What will Trump say during his dinner with the UK King & Queen?

Held

Tue, Apr 28

8:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a State Dinner Honoring King Charles III of the United Kingdom

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Also now Trump +1 later

4 said 21 not said of 25 words

Not held 20 of 206 past Trump events, 10 of 122 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 307 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/307 4% —
YES Before startBefore89¢ All11/15 73% Speeches / ceremonies9/11 82% Official speeches / ceremonies77/307 25% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All21/45 47% Speeches / ceremonies17/30 57% Official speeches / ceremonies93/307 30% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore78¢ All10/31 32% Speeches / ceremonies7/24 29% Official speeches / ceremonies30/307 10% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All126/167 75% Speeches / ceremonies72/99 73% Official speeches / ceremonies196/307 64% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies1/307 0% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/106 5% Speeches / ceremonies5/68 7% Official speeches / ceremonies17/307 6% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore16¢ All73/100 73% Speeches / ceremonies39/58 67% Official speeches / ceremonies165/307 54% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/307 1% —
NO Before startBefore47¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies56/307 18% Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All78/143 55% Speeches / ceremonies55/86 64% Official speeches / ceremonies118/307 38% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All13/26 50% Speeches / ceremonies8/16 50% Official speeches / ceremonies135/307 44% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All34/50 68% Speeches / ceremonies21/34 62% Official speeches / ceremonies115/307 37% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/307 1% N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/307 11% N N Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/307 4% Y N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All18/32 56% Speeches / ceremonies4/16 25% Official speeches / ceremonies60/307 20% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/307 13% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All10/16 63% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies46/307 15% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore22¢ All14/21 67% Speeches / ceremonies7/10 70% Official speeches / ceremonies140/307 46% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/307 1% N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All15/24 63% Speeches / ceremonies10/15 67% Official speeches / ceremonies105/307 34% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All27/45 60% Speeches / ceremonies18/31 58% Official speeches / ceremonies74/307 24% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All79/112 71% Speeches / ceremonies51/69 74% Official speeches / ceremonies170/307 55% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All21/38 55% Speeches / ceremonies13/27 48% Official speeches / ceremonies106/307 35% N N Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Dinner with His Majesty King Charles III of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Her Majesty Queen Camilla, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Dinner with His Majesty King Charles III of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Her Majesty Queen Camilla will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Dinner with His Majesty King Charles III of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Her Majesty Queen Camilla will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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