mentions

Trump hosts Medal of Honor Ceremony

What will Trump say during the Medal of Honor Ceremony?

Held

Mon, Mar 2

11:00 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Presenting the Medal of Honor to Command Sergeant Major Terry P. Richardson, USA, and Posthumously to Master Sergeant Roderick W. Edmonds, USA, and Staff Sergeant Michael H. Ollis, USA

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Also now Trump +2 later

9 said 21 not said of 30 words

Not held 16 of 170 past Trump events, 8 of 99 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 274 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore21¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies12/274 4% N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All107/138 78% Speeches / ceremonies62/81 77% Official speeches / ceremonies177/274 65% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies115/274 42% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/274 7% —
NO Before startBefore10¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies22/274 8% —
NO Before startBefore2¢ All3/79 4% Speeches / ceremonies3/49 6% Official speeches / ceremonies14/274 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/274 8% —
YES Before startBefore24¢ All58/76 76% Speeches / ceremonies31/43 72% Official speeches / ceremonies145/274 53% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All25/38 66% Speeches / ceremonies14/23 61% Official speeches / ceremonies35/274 13% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/274 0% —
NO Before startBefore14¢ All67/112 60% Speeches / ceremonies47/65 72% Official speeches / ceremonies106/274 39% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All21/32 66% Speeches / ceremonies11/19 58% Official speeches / ceremonies88/274 32% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All13/25 52% Speeches / ceremonies8/14 57% Official speeches / ceremonies70/274 26% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/274 0% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies65/274 24% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies10/274 4% Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/274 0% N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies59/274 22% Y
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies36/274 13% —
NO Before startBefore24¢ All8/23 35% Speeches / ceremonies3/11 27% Official speeches / ceremonies87/274 32% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/274 11% Y
NO Before startBefore31¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/274 8% N
YES Before startBefore71¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies58/274 21% N Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies26/274 9% —
NO Before startBefore12¢ All67/90 74% Speeches / ceremonies42/52 81% Official speeches / ceremonies156/274 57% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies55/274 20% N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies21/274 8% N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/274 1% —
NO Before startBefore21¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies65/274 24% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore4¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/274 1% N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next White House announcement by Donald Trump” refers to the first qualifying livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after February 28th, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET.
  • The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity; if Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity, the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • If Donald Trump is not present during a livestream posted by the White House the market will not qualify.
  • Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the livestream will not count.
  • Press gaggles will not qualify.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of next White House announcement by Donald Trump, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next White House announcement by Donald Trump will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the next White House announcement by Donald Trump will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purposes of this market, “next White House announcement by Donald Trump” refers to the first qualifying livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after February 28th, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET. The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity; if Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity, the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). If Donald Trump is not present during a livestream posted by the White House the market will not qualify. Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the livestream will not count. Press gaggles will not qualify.

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