mentions

Trump holds G7 Press Conference

What will Trump say during his G7 Press Conference?

Held

Wed, Jun 17

9:30 AM ET /

Trump

Press conference

Official transcript The President's News Conference in Évian-les-Bains, France

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump Trump +1 later

22 said 10 not said of 32 words

Not held 23 of 246 past Trump events, 2 of 14 press conferences

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Press conferences Official press conferences · 19 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore55¢ All19/35 54% Press conferences— Official press conferences3/19 16% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All31/74 42% Press conferences0/2 0% small n Official press conferences6/19 32% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All12/30 40% Press conferences0/2 0% small n Official press conferences0/19 0% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences8/19 42% —
YES Before startBefore39¢ All8/21 38% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences2/19 11% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore33¢ All2/16 13% Press conferences— Official press conferences4/19 21% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All149/202 74% Press conferences9/11 82% Official press conferences15/19 79% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore55¢ All10/12 83% Press conferences— Official press conferences11/19 58% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All5/138 4% Press conferences0/3 0% small n Official press conferences0/19 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences18/19 95% —
YES Before startBefore55¢ All93/131 71% Press conferences6/6 100% Official press conferences10/19 53% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All5/20 25% Press conferences— Official press conferences4/19 21% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore38¢ All31/54 57% Press conferences2/3 67% small n Official press conferences6/19 32% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore50¢ All12/16 75% Press conferences— Official press conferences12/19 63% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All9/31 29% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Official press conferences1/19 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All3/4 75% Press conferences— Official press conferences6/19 32% N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore52¢ All4/4 100% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences8/19 42% Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore65¢ All21/41 51% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences11/19 58% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore80¢ All19/39 49% Press conferences3/5 60% Official press conferences9/19 47% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All12/22 55% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Official press conferences12/19 63% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences11/19 58% —
NO Before startBefore32¢ All10/21 48% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences10/19 53% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All34/59 58% Press conferences2/6 33% Official press conferences13/19 68% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All15/28 54% Press conferences2/2 100% small n Official press conferences16/19 84% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore21¢ All10/32 31% Press conferences— Official press conferences5/19 26% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All0/1 0% Press conferences— Official press conferences3/19 16% N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All4/6 67% Press conferences— Official press conferences14/19 74% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore70¢ All45/77 58% Press conferences1/1 100% small n Official press conferences3/19 16% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All— Press conferences— Official press conferences1/19 5% —
YES Before startBefore76¢ All23/45 51% Press conferences1/3 33% small n Official press conferences13/19 68% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All0/6 0% Press conferences0/1 0% small n Official press conferences0/19 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore71¢ All4/15 27% Press conferences— Official press conferences2/19 11% N N N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official press conferences: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Press conferences. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The President holds a Press Conference, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The President holds a Press Conference will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The President holds a Press Conference will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

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