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Trump joins The Forum Club of the Palm Beaches Dinner

What will Trump say during The Forum Club of the Palm Beaches Dinner?

Held

Fri, May 1

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks and a Question-and-Answer Session at the Forum Club of the Palm Beaches Dinner in West Palm Beach, Florida

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

15 said 11 not said of 26 words

Not held 20 of 210 past Trump events, 10 of 125 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 311 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore30¢ All23/48 48% Speeches / ceremonies18/32 56% Official speeches / ceremonies95/311 31% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies25/311 8% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All12/35 34% Speeches / ceremonies8/27 30% Official speeches / ceremonies32/311 10% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All128/171 75% Speeches / ceremonies74/102 73% Official speeches / ceremonies198/311 64% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All68/104 65% Speeches / ceremonies43/68 63% Official speeches / ceremonies161/311 52% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All5/108 5% Speeches / ceremonies5/70 7% Official speeches / ceremonies17/311 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore60¢ All77/104 74% Speeches / ceremonies42/61 69% Official speeches / ceremonies168/311 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies4/311 1% N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All6/19 32% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies57/311 18% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies57/311 18% N N Y
YES Before startBefore15¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies2/7 29% Official speeches / ceremonies25/311 8% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore48¢ All13/19 68% Speeches / ceremonies10/14 71% Official speeches / ceremonies47/311 15% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore60¢ All80/146 55% Speeches / ceremonies57/89 64% Official speeches / ceremonies119/311 38% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All13/27 48% Speeches / ceremonies8/17 47% Official speeches / ceremonies137/311 44% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All35/52 67% Speeches / ceremonies22/36 61% Official speeches / ceremonies117/311 38% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All12/20 60% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies86/311 28% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All3/3 100% Speeches / ceremonies3/3 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies62/311 20% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies74/311 24% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore71¢ All10/18 56% Speeches / ceremonies6/11 55% Official speeches / ceremonies47/311 15% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore83¢ All14/22 64% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies142/311 46% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All1/7 14% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/311 5% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All9/15 60% Speeches / ceremonies6/10 60% Official speeches / ceremonies41/311 13% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All28/47 60% Speeches / ceremonies18/32 56% Official speeches / ceremonies75/311 24% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore58¢ All80/114 70% Speeches / ceremonies52/71 73% Official speeches / ceremonies172/311 55% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore21¢ All9/32 28% Speeches / ceremonies7/23 30% Official speeches / ceremonies62/311 20% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore54¢ All61/75 81% Speeches / ceremonies43/50 86% Official speeches / ceremonies169/311 54% Y Y Y Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The Forum Club of the Palm Beaches Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The Forum Club of the Palm Beaches Dinner will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The Forum Club of the Palm Beaches Dinner will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker