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Trump holds Black History Month Reception

What will Trump say during his Black History Month Reception?

Held

Wed, Feb 18

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Black History Month Reception

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

7 said 12 not said of 19 words

Not held 15 of 159 past Trump events, 8 of 92 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 268 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore54¢ All21/52 40% Speeches / ceremonies11/29 38% Official speeches / ceremonies29/268 11% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies29/268 11% —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All0/5 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/268 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/268 1% —
YES Before startBefore57¢ All103/131 79% Speeches / ceremonies58/76 76% Official speeches / ceremonies173/268 65% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/268 7% —
YES Before startBefore65¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies115/268 43% Y
NO Before startBefore6¢ All3/72 4% Speeches / ceremonies3/44 7% Official speeches / ceremonies14/268 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All53/70 76% Speeches / ceremonies29/40 73% Official speeches / ceremonies141/268 53% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All10/22 45% Speeches / ceremonies4/11 36% Official speeches / ceremonies87/268 32% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All37/55 67% Speeches / ceremonies24/35 69% Official speeches / ceremonies157/268 59% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All4/27 15% Speeches / ceremonies1/17 6% Official speeches / ceremonies4/268 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore46¢ All61/105 58% Speeches / ceremonies43/60 72% Official speeches / ceremonies102/268 38% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore15¢ All8/23 35% Speeches / ceremonies2/13 15% Official speeches / ceremonies81/268 30% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies66/268 25% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies55/268 21% Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All14/22 64% Speeches / ceremonies10/15 67% Official speeches / ceremonies59/268 22% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All5/13 38% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies53/268 20% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/268 6% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Black History Month Reception, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Black History Month Reception will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Black History Month Reception will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Cases

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