mentions

Trump delivers remarks to Fort Bragg Military Families

What will Trump say during his remarks to Military Families?

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Fri, Feb 13

1:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks to United States Servicemembers and Military Families at Fort Bragg, North Carolina

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Also now Trump +2 later

14 said 10 not said of 24 words

Not held 15 of 158 past Trump events, 8 of 91 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 267 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore33¢ All21/51 41% Speeches / ceremonies11/28 39% Official speeches / ceremonies29/267 11% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore45¢ All5/14 36% Speeches / ceremonies4/13 31% Official speeches / ceremonies36/267 13% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/267 0% N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All102/130 78% Speeches / ceremonies57/75 76% Official speeches / ceremonies172/267 64% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore31¢ All12/19 63% Speeches / ceremonies10/14 71% Official speeches / ceremonies67/267 25% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All3/71 4% Speeches / ceremonies3/43 7% Official speeches / ceremonies14/267 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore41¢ All22/34 65% Speeches / ceremonies12/20 60% Official speeches / ceremonies33/267 12% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All36/54 67% Speeches / ceremonies23/34 68% Official speeches / ceremonies156/267 58% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All4/26 15% Speeches / ceremonies1/16 6% Official speeches / ceremonies4/267 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore42¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies51/267 19% N Y N N
NO Before startBefore78¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies40/267 15% Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All60/104 58% Speeches / ceremonies42/59 71% Official speeches / ceremonies101/267 38% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore43¢ All13/19 68% Speeches / ceremonies9/11 82% Official speeches / ceremonies89/267 33% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/267 3% —
NO Before startBefore55¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies34/267 13% Y N N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/13 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/9 0% Official speeches / ceremonies10/267 4% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All44/66 67% Speeches / ceremonies21/36 58% Official speeches / ceremonies84/267 31% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies34/267 13% —
YES Before startBefore38¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies26/267 10% —
YES Before startBefore45¢ All13/21 62% Speeches / ceremonies9/14 64% Official speeches / ceremonies58/267 22% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore54¢ All66/87 76% Speeches / ceremonies41/50 82% Official speeches / ceremonies152/267 57% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies66/267 25% —
YES Before startBefore75¢ All50/57 88% Speeches / ceremonies34/36 94% Official speeches / ceremonies152/267 57% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore92¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies61/267 23% Y N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks to Fort Bragg Military Families, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the remarks to Fort Bragg Military Families will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the remarks to Fort Bragg Military Families will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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