mentions

Trump holds a Bill Signing Ceremony

What will Trump say during the Bill Signing Ceremony?

Held

Fri, Dec 12

3:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing the Miracle on Ice Congressional Gold Medal Act and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

9 said 14 not said of 23 words

Not held 8 of 110 past Trump events, 4 of 63 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 234 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore89¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies62/234 26% N Y
NO Before startBefore62¢ All7/16 44% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies19/234 8% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore75¢ All74/90 82% Speeches / ceremonies42/52 81% Official speeches / ceremonies152/234 65% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore65¢ All43/59 73% Speeches / ceremonies29/40 73% Official speeches / ceremonies127/234 54% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All2/37 5% Speeches / ceremonies2/22 9% Official speeches / ceremonies12/234 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All33/45 73% Speeches / ceremonies20/28 71% Official speeches / ceremonies117/234 50% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore53¢ All9/19 47% Speeches / ceremonies3/8 38% Official speeches / ceremonies75/234 32% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/234 1% N N N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All15/22 68% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Official speeches / ceremonies90/234 38% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore49¢ All3/5 60% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies20/234 9% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All27/41 66% Speeches / ceremonies16/25 64% Official speeches / ceremonies133/234 57% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore55¢ All7/11 64% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies25/234 11% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies2/6 33% Official speeches / ceremonies18/234 8% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore68¢ All42/68 62% Speeches / ceremonies31/39 79% Official speeches / ceremonies86/234 37% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore86¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies46/234 20% N Y
NO Before startBefore65¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies102/234 44% Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore45¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/234 1% —
NO Before startBefore25¢ All8/17 47% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies36/234 15% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All12/24 50% Speeches / ceremonies7/14 50% Official speeches / ceremonies109/234 47% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All29/32 91% Speeches / ceremonies19/21 90% Official speeches / ceremonies127/234 54% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore46¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/234 10% N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies15/234 6% —
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies37/234 16% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
  • Previous recordings aired during this event will count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bill Signing Ceremony, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bill Signing Ceremony will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Bill Signing Ceremony will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. Previous recordings aired during this event will count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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