mentions

Trump makes an announcement

What will Trump say during his EPA Announcement?

Held

Thu, Feb 12

1:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on the Environmental Protection Agency's Rescission of the "Endangerment Finding" With Respect to Greenhouse Gas Emissions and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +2 later

14 said 12 not said of 26 words

Not held 15 of 157 past Trump events, 8 of 90 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 266 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore40¢ All21/50 42% Speeches / ceremonies11/27 41% Official speeches / ceremonies29/266 11% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore52¢ All16/30 53% Speeches / ceremonies12/18 67% Official speeches / ceremonies84/266 32% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore4¢ All0/3 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/266 0% N N N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All101/129 78% Speeches / ceremonies56/74 76% Official speeches / ceremonies171/266 64% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/266 1% —
YES Before startBefore85¢ All57/83 69% Speeches / ceremonies36/52 69% Official speeches / ceremonies142/266 53% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies5/266 2% N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All3/70 4% Speeches / ceremonies3/42 7% Official speeches / ceremonies14/266 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore76¢ All52/69 75% Speeches / ceremonies28/39 72% Official speeches / ceremonies139/266 52% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore28¢ All4/7 57% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies26/266 10% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies33/266 12% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore87¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/266 1% Y
NO Before startBefore13¢ All4/25 16% Speeches / ceremonies1/15 7% Official speeches / ceremonies4/266 2% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies49/266 18% Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies24/266 9% —
YES Before startBefore49¢ All5/14 36% Speeches / ceremonies2/10 20% Official speeches / ceremonies20/266 8% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All60/103 58% Speeches / ceremonies42/58 72% Official speeches / ceremonies101/266 38% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All8/22 36% Speeches / ceremonies2/12 17% Official speeches / ceremonies81/266 30% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All44/65 68% Speeches / ceremonies21/35 60% Official speeches / ceremonies84/266 32% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies54/266 20% Y N Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/266 1% —
NO Before startBefore54¢ All13/20 65% Speeches / ceremonies9/13 69% Official speeches / ceremonies58/266 22% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore43¢ All4/12 33% Speeches / ceremonies3/9 33% Official speeches / ceremonies51/266 19% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore70¢ All65/86 76% Speeches / ceremonies40/49 82% Official speeches / ceremonies151/266 57% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore88¢ All49/56 88% Speeches / ceremonies33/35 94% Official speeches / ceremonies151/266 57% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies28/266 11% Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement with the Administrator of the EPA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Announcement with the Administrator of the EPA will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Announcement with the Administrator of the EPA will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

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