mentions

Board of Peace Charter Announcement

What will Trump say during the Peace Charter Announcement?

Held

Thu, Jan 22

4:30 AM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

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Also now Trump +2 later

11 said 5 not said of 16 words

Not held 13 of 139 past Trump events, 7 of 80 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 256 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore45¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies13/256 5% —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All92/113 81% Speeches / ceremonies52/65 80% Official speeches / ceremonies165/256 64% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies132/256 52% —
NO Before startBefore60¢ All10/20 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/9 44% Official speeches / ceremonies84/256 33% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore63¢ All17/25 68% Speeches / ceremonies10/16 63% Official speeches / ceremonies30/256 12% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All8/12 67% Speeches / ceremonies2/4 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies48/256 19% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies58/256 23% N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies5/8 63% Official speeches / ceremonies115/256 45% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All16/19 84% Speeches / ceremonies8/10 80% Official speeches / ceremonies80/256 31% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies68/256 27% —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All9/18 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/8 13% Official speeches / ceremonies52/256 20% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All39/56 70% Speeches / ceremonies19/30 63% Official speeches / ceremonies82/256 32% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/256 1% N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies126/256 49% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies29/256 11% —
NO Before startBefore37¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/256 2% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Q&A will count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Board of Peace Charter Announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Board of Peace Charter Announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Board of Peace Charter Announcement will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no. Q&A will count.

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