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Trump holds Bilateral Tea with the President of China

What will Trump say during his Bilateral Tea with the President of China?

Held

Thu, May 14

11:30 PM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Tea With President Xi Jinping of China in Beijing, China

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance

2 said 17 not said of 19 words

Not held 21 of 221 past Trump events, 7 of 35 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 96 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore13¢ All24/54 44% Meetings2/5 40% Official meetings28/96 29% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All134/181 74% Meetings23/26 88% Official meetings64/96 67% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All1/1 100% Meetings— Official meetings30/96 31% Y
NO Before startBefore7¢ All7/28 25% Meetings2/7 29% Official meetings15/96 16% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All5/117 4% Meetings0/16 0% Official meetings1/96 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings18/96 19% —
NO Before startBefore11¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings21/96 22% —
NO Before startBefore3¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings1/96 1% N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All87/156 56% Meetings9/24 38% Official meetings18/96 19% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore18¢ All15/31 48% Meetings2/6 33% Official meetings41/96 43% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore18¢ All4/8 50% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings42/96 44% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore18¢ All62/91 68% Meetings11/15 73% Official meetings41/96 43% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All17/29 59% Meetings1/4 25% small n Official meetings41/96 43% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All0/1 0% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings0/96 0% N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All10/27 37% Meetings5/9 56% Official meetings20/96 21% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All32/55 58% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings15/96 16% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All1/8 13% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings9/96 9% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All83/121 69% Meetings17/22 77% Official meetings57/96 59% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore12¢ All64/81 79% Meetings8/12 67% Official meetings53/96 55% N N N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Tea with the President of the People's Republic of China, inclusive of Greeting and Friendship Photo, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Tea with the President of the People's Republic of China, inclusive of Greeting and Friendship Photo will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Tea with the President of the People's Republic of China, inclusive of Greeting and Friendship Photo will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker