mentions

Trump delivers remarks to farmers

What will Trump say during his remarks to farmers?

Held

Fri, Mar 27

12:30 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks to Farmers

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Bernie Sanders Trump +2 later

15 said 12 not said of 27 words

Not held 16 of 185 past Trump events, 8 of 110 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 293 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore43¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies45/293 15% N N N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All19/38 50% Speeches / ceremonies15/25 60% Official speeches / ceremonies90/293 31% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/293 4% N Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All117/153 76% Speeches / ceremonies68/92 74% Official speeches / ceremonies187/293 64% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All13/20 65% Speeches / ceremonies11/15 73% Official speeches / ceremonies76/293 26% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All62/93 67% Speeches / ceremonies38/59 64% Official speeches / ceremonies151/293 52% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All64/86 74% Speeches / ceremonies35/51 69% Official speeches / ceremonies157/293 54% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/293 1% —
YES Before startBefore56¢ All5/9 56% Speeches / ceremonies4/8 50% Official speeches / ceremonies47/293 16% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore70¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/293 0% —
YES Before startBefore22¢ All3/11 27% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies54/293 18% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies97/293 33% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies2/2 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/293 10% Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All4/12 33% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies19/293 6% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore37¢ All70/126 56% Speeches / ceremonies50/76 66% Official speeches / ceremonies111/293 38% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore57¢ All13/25 52% Speeches / ceremonies8/15 53% Official speeches / ceremonies129/293 44% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All32/45 71% Speeches / ceremonies20/30 67% Official speeches / ceremonies102/293 35% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/293 1% —
NO Before startBefore34¢ All51/75 68% Speeches / ceremonies26/42 62% Official speeches / ceremonies100/293 34% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore66¢ All15/35 43% Speeches / ceremonies7/20 35% Official speeches / ceremonies97/293 33% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore10¢ All10/24 42% Speeches / ceremonies5/15 33% Official speeches / ceremonies43/293 15% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore67¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/293 2% Y N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All9/21 43% Speeches / ceremonies6/15 40% Official speeches / ceremonies60/293 20% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All73/102 72% Speeches / ceremonies46/60 77% Official speeches / ceremonies164/293 56% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All20/31 65% Speeches / ceremonies12/15 80% Official speeches / ceremonies172/293 59% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore46¢ All6/23 26% Speeches / ceremonies3/15 20% Official speeches / ceremonies80/293 27% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All4/9 44% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/293 6% Y Y N N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks to Farmers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks to Farmers will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks to Farmers will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker