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Trump delivers remarks in Iowa

What will Trump say during his remarks in Iowa?

Held

Tue, Jan 27

4:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks in Clive, Iowa

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

22 said 12 not said of 34 words

Not held 13 of 143 past Trump events, 7 of 82 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 256 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore76¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies18/256 7% —
YES Before startBefore92¢ All16/38 42% Speeches / ceremonies9/20 45% Official speeches / ceremonies26/256 10% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore72¢ All11/21 52% Speeches / ceremonies10/13 77% Official speeches / ceremonies80/256 31% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All94/117 80% Speeches / ceremonies53/67 79% Official speeches / ceremonies165/256 64% N N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore77¢ All11/17 65% Speeches / ceremonies9/12 75% Official speeches / ceremonies62/256 24% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All51/75 68% Speeches / ceremonies34/48 71% Official speeches / ceremonies137/256 54% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies52/256 20% —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/256 3% —
YES Before startBefore75¢ All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/3 33% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/256 25% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All3/58 5% Speeches / ceremonies3/35 9% Official speeches / ceremonies13/256 5% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/256 2% —
YES Before startBefore97¢ All45/60 75% Speeches / ceremonies26/35 74% Official speeches / ceremonies132/256 52% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies4/256 2% —
NO Before startBefore22¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/256 0% —
YES Before startBefore94¢ All13/29 45% Speeches / ceremonies7/16 44% Official speeches / ceremonies82/256 32% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore63¢ All19/28 68% Speeches / ceremonies11/17 65% Official speeches / ceremonies30/256 12% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore94¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies41/256 16% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore63¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies50/256 20% N N
NO Before startBefore65¢ All8/13 62% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies10/256 4% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore66¢ All1/2 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/256 5% N Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies126/256 49% N N Y N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All56/92 61% Speeches / ceremonies39/52 75% Official speeches / ceremonies97/256 38% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore92¢ All6/11 55% Speeches / ceremonies1/6 17% Official speeches / ceremonies77/256 30% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/256 0% N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All10/16 63% Speeches / ceremonies6/9 67% Official speeches / ceremonies115/256 45% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore32¢ All0/12 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/8 0% Official speeches / ceremonies10/256 4% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies69/256 27% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All42/59 71% Speeches / ceremonies20/31 65% Official speeches / ceremonies82/256 32% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore97¢ All7/10 70% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies108/256 42% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore35¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/256 3% —
YES Before startBefore80¢ All14/33 42% Speeches / ceremonies6/18 33% Official speeches / ceremonies61/256 24% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore13¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/256 0% —
NO Before startBefore67¢ All2/11 18% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies14/256 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All43/50 86% Speeches / ceremonies28/30 93% Official speeches / ceremonies142/256 55% N Y N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Special for this event

  • Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks to Clive, Iowa, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks to Clive, Iowa will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Remarks to Clive, Iowa will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns used as or within a proper nouns (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.

Cases

All cases of this speaker