mentions

Trump holds working Lunch with G7 Leaders

What will Trump say during his working Lunch with G7 Leaders?

Not held (DNQ)

Tue, Jun 16

6:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

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Also now Trump +2 later

0 said 24 not said of 24 words

Not held 21 of 242 past Trump events, 7 of 40 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 100 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore27¢ All19/33 58% Meetings3/5 60% Official meetings9/100 9% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore31¢ All30/73 41% Meetings3/10 30% Official meetings28/100 28% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All148/200 74% Meetings25/31 81% Official meetings65/100 65% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All9/11 82% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings60/100 60% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/136 4% Meetings0/20 0% Official meetings1/100 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All93/131 71% Meetings14/21 67% Official meetings45/100 45% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore23¢ All31/53 58% Meetings4/7 57% Official meetings32/100 32% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore17¢ All11/15 73% Meetings2/4 50% small n Official meetings37/100 37% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore61¢ All9/29 31% Meetings1/6 17% Official meetings2/100 2% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All98/175 56% Meetings11/28 39% Official meetings19/100 19% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All0/6 0% Meetings0/4 0% small n Official meetings21/100 21% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All14/14 100% Meetings4/4 100% small n Official meetings23/100 23% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore27¢ All20/39 51% Meetings3/6 50% Official meetings34/100 34% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore64¢ All73/102 72% Meetings13/17 76% Official meetings44/100 44% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore79¢ All25/41 61% Meetings1/5 20% Official meetings43/100 43% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore26¢ All16/37 43% Meetings5/11 45% Official meetings45/100 45% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All10/32 31% Meetings5/13 38% Official meetings20/100 20% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All4/6 67% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings64/100 64% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All44/75 59% Meetings5/9 56% Official meetings17/100 17% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All91/134 68% Meetings19/27 70% Official meetings58/100 58% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All17/52 33% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings13/100 13% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore23¢ All22/44 50% Meetings6/8 75% Official meetings62/100 62% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All4/14 29% Meetings1/3 33% small n Official meetings8/100 8% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All2/4 50% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings19/100 19% N Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Working Lunch with G7 Leaders and the Middle East, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Working Lunch with G7 Leaders and the Middle East will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Working Lunch with G7 Leaders and the Middle East will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker