mentions

Trump holds a Hanukkah Reception

What will Trump say during the Hanukkah Reception?

Held

Tue, Dec 16

8:15 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Hanukkah Reception

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Also now Trump +2 later

13 said 9 not said of 22 words

Not held 9 of 113 past Trump events, 5 of 66 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 238 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore42¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies23/238 10% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/238 3% N
YES Before startBefore29¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies8/238 3% Y Y
YES Before startBefore55¢ All75/92 82% Speeches / ceremonies43/54 80% Official speeches / ceremonies154/238 65% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies45/238 19% —
YES Before startBefore53¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/238 3% —
NO Before startBefore5¢ All2/39 5% Speeches / ceremonies2/24 8% Official speeches / ceremonies12/238 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All12/23 52% Speeches / ceremonies6/13 46% Official speeches / ceremonies76/238 32% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All5/7 71% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies22/238 9% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore51¢ All28/43 65% Speeches / ceremonies17/27 63% Official speeches / ceremonies135/238 57% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All42/70 60% Speeches / ceremonies31/41 76% Official speeches / ceremonies86/238 36% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies70/238 29% N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All9/26 35% Speeches / ceremonies4/13 31% Official speeches / ceremonies33/238 14% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All10/21 48% Speeches / ceremonies5/11 45% Official speeches / ceremonies65/238 27% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore76¢ All10/15 67% Speeches / ceremonies7/9 78% Official speeches / ceremonies79/238 33% Y N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore44¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies47/238 20% —
YES Before startBefore83¢ All14/17 82% Speeches / ceremonies9/11 82% Official speeches / ceremonies84/238 35% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All12/24 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/12 33% Official speeches / ceremonies56/238 24% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All48/63 76% Speeches / ceremonies29/36 81% Official speeches / ceremonies130/238 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore48¢ All31/34 91% Speeches / ceremonies21/23 91% Official speeches / ceremonies130/238 55% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore52¢ All10/17 59% Speeches / ceremonies6/7 86% Official speeches / ceremonies131/238 55% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore19¢ All4/20 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/12 8% Official speeches / ceremonies60/238 25% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Hanukkah Reception on December 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Hanukkah Reception on December 16 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Hanukkah Reception on December 16 will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count.

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