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Trump holds a FIFA Reception

What will Trump say during FIFA World Cup reception?

Held

Fri, Jul 17

5:20 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at a Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA) Reception in New York City

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +1 later

5 said 17 not said of 22 words

Not held 24 of 275 past Trump events, 11 of 154 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 357 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore13¢ All7/37 19% Speeches / ceremonies7/21 33% Official speeches / ceremonies57/357 16% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All41/98 42% Speeches / ceremonies28/53 53% Official speeches / ceremonies110/357 31% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All16/43 37% Speeches / ceremonies9/22 41% Official speeches / ceremonies38/357 11% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All168/227 74% Speeches / ceremonies93/129 72% Official speeches / ceremonies227/357 64% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All8/51 16% Speeches / ceremonies2/20 10% Official speeches / ceremonies30/357 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore42¢ All21/29 72% Speeches / ceremonies13/17 76% Official speeches / ceremonies189/357 53% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All11/27 41% Speeches / ceremonies7/11 64% Official speeches / ceremonies44/357 12% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All7/165 4% Speeches / ceremonies6/96 6% Official speeches / ceremonies18/357 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore53¢ All106/151 70% Speeches / ceremonies57/85 67% Official speeches / ceremonies192/357 54% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore54¢ All64/94 68% Speeches / ceremonies41/58 71% Official speeches / ceremonies214/357 60% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore33¢ All39/68 57% Speeches / ceremonies21/37 57% Official speeches / ceremonies128/357 36% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All16/50 32% Speeches / ceremonies6/21 29% Official speeches / ceremonies24/357 7% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore48¢ All108/201 54% Speeches / ceremonies77/115 67% Official speeches / ceremonies143/357 40% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore15¢ All33/60 55% Speeches / ceremonies13/32 41% Official speeches / ceremonies102/357 29% N Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore31¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/357 1% —
NO Before startBefore26¢ All13/30 43% Speeches / ceremonies4/10 40% Official speeches / ceremonies82/357 23% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All29/48 60% Speeches / ceremonies15/22 68% Official speeches / ceremonies172/357 48% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore22¢ All5/10 50% Speeches / ceremonies4/6 67% Official speeches / ceremonies61/357 17% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore11¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies3/357 1% Y N N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All58/104 56% Speeches / ceremonies34/57 60% Official speeches / ceremonies101/357 28% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All24/74 32% Speeches / ceremonies15/45 33% Official speeches / ceremonies77/357 22% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore16¢ All0/6 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/6 0% Official speeches / ceremonies4/357 1% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after July 17th, 2026 at 9:45 am ET.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of next White House livestream, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the next White House livestream will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after July 17th, 2026 at 9:45 am ET. The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Cases

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