mentions

Trump joins Fox News: Special Report

What will Trump say during Fox News: Special Report?

Held

Tue, Jul 14

6:00 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

6 said 18 not said of 24 words

Not held 24 of 272 past Trump events, 1 of 35 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore13¢ All7/36 19% Interviews0/6 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore14¢ All40/95 42% Interviews6/19 32% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All15/41 37% Interviews3/7 43% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore34¢ All5/20 25% Interviews1/3 33% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore56¢ All166/224 74% Interviews23/31 74% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All8/49 16% Interviews2/10 20% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All7/162 4% Interviews1/28 4% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All13/13 100% Interviews3/3 100% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore67¢ All105/149 70% Interviews17/21 81% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore44¢ All10/28 36% Interviews2/4 50% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All7/19 37% Interviews1/3 33% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore86¢ All63/92 68% Interviews9/11 82% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore52¢ All38/66 58% Interviews9/13 69% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All15/48 31% Interviews5/11 45% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore58¢ All8/10 80% Interviews1/2 50% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore71¢ All31/57 54% Interviews9/10 90% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore48¢ All12/28 43% Interviews3/6 50% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All84/115 73% Interviews16/20 80% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore79¢ All50/78 64% Interviews7/10 70% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
NO Before startBefore27¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All9/23 39% Interviews3/6 50% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All57/101 56% Interviews12/20 60% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore22¢ All27/52 52% Interviews4/5 80% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News: Special Report, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: Special Report will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: Special Report will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker