mentions

What will Trump say during his podcast with The Second Lady?

Held

Time TBA

Trump

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

1 said 16 not said of 17 words

Not held 24 of 260 past Trump events, 1 of 31 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All25/45 56% Interviews1/5 20% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All8/25 32% Interviews1/2 50% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore— All159/214 74% Interviews21/28 75% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All6/151 4% Interviews1/24 4% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All101/141 72% Interviews15/18 83% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All37/60 62% Interviews8/10 80% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All15/22 68% Interviews1/2 50% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All105/188 56% Interviews9/24 38% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/5 20% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All27/43 63% Interviews9/10 90% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/2 50% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N Y
NO Before startBefore— All55/90 61% Interviews12/16 75% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All11/13 85% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All23/62 37% Interviews3/8 38% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All70/89 79% Interviews8/10 80% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All1/1 100% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y
NO Before startBefore— All5/24 21% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.
  • If Donald Trump is or is not present and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of THE PRESIDENT participates in a Pre-Tape Podcast with The Second Lady, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the THE PRESIDENT participates in a Pre-Tape Podcast with The Second Lady will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the THE PRESIDENT participates in a Pre-Tape Podcast with The Second Lady will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker