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Trump holds America is Back Rally

What will Trump say during his America is Back Rally?

Held

Wed, Jun 24

6:30 PM ET /

Trump

Rally

Official transcript Remarks at the Great American State Fair

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

21 said 23 not said of 44 words

Not held 24 of 253 past Trump events, 0 of 3 rallies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Rallies Official rallies · 1 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore70¢ All34/79 43% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All13/33 39% Rallies2/2 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All2/10 20% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All17/49 35% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore66¢ All11/25 44% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All4/8 50% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All5/14 36% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore3¢ All5/144 3% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies0/1 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore— All3/6 50% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All7/16 44% Rallies1/2 50% small n Official rallies0/1 0% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore89¢ All5/8 63% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore— All31/53 58% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All33/56 59% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore69¢ All8/22 36% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies0/1 0% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All13/20 65% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All12/32 38% Rallies0/1 0% small n Official rallies0/1 0% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore18¢ All5/11 45% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore86¢ All17/26 65% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore— All6/21 29% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore95¢ All100/181 55% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All4/5 80% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All6/6 100% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All1/7 14% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore74¢ All7/9 78% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All0/2 0% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% N N
YES Before startBefore91¢ All4/9 44% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore64¢ All3/14 21% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore69¢ All4/8 50% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All6/8 75% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All26/42 62% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore69¢ All5/8 63% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore84¢ All25/53 47% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore80¢ All0/2 0% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N N
NO Before startBefore90¢ All5/16 31% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore85¢ All9/18 50% Rallies2/2 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All4/8 50% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore64¢ All4/4 100% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore95¢ All49/83 59% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% N Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore29¢ All11/34 32% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore67¢ All1/1 100% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% Y
YES Before startBefore81¢ All19/55 35% Rallies1/1 100% small n Official rallies1/1 100% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All69/88 78% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All14/19 74% Rallies— Official rallies1/1 100% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore59¢ All4/20 20% Rallies— Official rallies0/1 0% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official rallies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Rallies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Great American State Fair - America is Back Rally will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker