mentions

Trump participates in a Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq

What will Trump say during the Bilateral Meeting with Iraq?

Held

Tue, Jul 14

11:15 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Ali Falih Kadhim al-Zaydi of Iraq and an Exchange With Reporters

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Also now Trump +2 later

10 said 12 not said of 22 words

Not held 24 of 271 past Trump events, 9 of 47 meetings

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 108 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore15¢ All7/35 20% Meetings0/3 0% small n Official meetings11/108 10% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore19¢ All39/94 41% Meetings4/13 31% Official meetings30/108 28% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings82/108 76% —
YES Before startBefore63¢ All165/223 74% Meetings29/36 81% Official meetings70/108 65% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All8/48 17% Meetings2/11 18% Official meetings15/108 14% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore18¢ All0/2 0% Meetings— Official meetings7/108 6% N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All10/25 40% Meetings1/5 20% Official meetings9/108 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore83¢ All7/7 100% Meetings3/3 100% small n Official meetings87/108 81% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore41¢ All10/27 37% Meetings4/8 50% Official meetings14/108 13% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore15¢ All0/6 0% Meetings— Official meetings4/108 4% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All15/47 32% Meetings2/11 18% Official meetings3/108 3% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore89¢ All0/3 0% Meetings— Official meetings44/108 41% N N N
YES Before startBefore67¢ All23/27 85% Meetings6/6 100% Official meetings31/108 29% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore77¢ All31/56 55% Meetings7/11 64% Official meetings39/108 36% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore37¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings4/108 4% —
NO Before startBefore80¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings51/108 47% —
YES Before startBefore90¢ All49/77 64% Meetings13/15 87% Official meetings43/108 40% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore33¢ All16/31 52% Meetings3/6 50% Official meetings64/108 59% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore26¢ All1/3 33% Meetings— Official meetings5/108 5% N N Y
NO Before startBefore38¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings24/108 22% —
YES Before startBefore91¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings107/108 99% —
NO Before startBefore35¢ All27/51 53% Meetings8/11 73% Official meetings66/108 61% Y N Y N Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

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Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of the Republic of Iraq will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

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