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Trump speaks with Artemis II

What will Trump say during his remarks with Artemis II?

Held

Mon, Apr 6

10:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

7 said 12 not said of 19 words

Not held 17 of 192 past Trump events, 8 of 114 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 298 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore— All2/4 50% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies50/298 17% Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies2/298 1% —
NO Before startBefore— All121/158 77% Speeches / ceremonies70/95 74% Official speeches / ceremonies191/298 64% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore— All65/97 67% Speeches / ceremonies41/63 65% Official speeches / ceremonies155/298 52% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies18/298 6% N
NO Before startBefore— All2/7 29% Speeches / ceremonies1/5 20% Official speeches / ceremonies36/298 12% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore— All14/25 56% Speeches / ceremonies7/17 41% Official speeches / ceremonies96/298 32% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies58/298 19% Y N N
YES Before startBefore— All73/132 55% Speeches / ceremonies52/80 65% Official speeches / ceremonies113/298 38% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore— All34/47 72% Speeches / ceremonies21/31 68% Official speeches / ceremonies107/298 36% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies5/298 2% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies19/298 6% —
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies1/298 0% —
NO Before startBefore— All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies16/298 5% Y Y
YES Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies33/298 11% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies133/298 45% —
NO Before startBefore— All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies0/298 0% N N
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies3/298 1% —
NO Before startBefore— All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies0/298 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks with Artemis II, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks with Artemis II will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks with Artemis II will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker