mentions

Trump joins Fox News

What will Trump say during his Fox News interview?

Held

Thu, Mar 26

5:00 PM ET /

Trump

Interview

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Also now Trump +2 later

7 said 12 not said of 19 words

Not held 16 of 184 past Trump events, 1 of 19 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore14¢ All1/3 33% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y
YES Before startBefore72¢ All116/152 76% Interviews13/17 76% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore40¢ All3/3 100% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All2/4 50% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore25¢ All29/44 66% Interviews4/8 50% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All2/6 33% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore48¢ All11/21 52% Interviews1/1 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore36¢ All2/15 13% Interviews0/3 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All5/6 83% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore24¢ All16/30 53% Interviews2/3 67% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All1/1 100% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All3/7 43% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All1/2 50% Interviews— Official interviews1/2 50% N Y
NO Before startBefore51¢ All5/9 56% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore74¢ All11/15 73% Interviews4/4 100% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All21/44 48% Interviews0/2 0% small n Official interviews1/2 50% N Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All0/1 0% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N
NO Before startBefore57¢ All20/58 34% Interviews1/6 17% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore20¢ All73/101 72% Interviews6/11 55% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the Fox News: The Five will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: The Five will be used.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
  • Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
  • If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
  • The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Fox News: The Five, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Fox News: The Five will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: The Five will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count.
Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker