mentions

Trump hosts Easter Egg Roll

What will Trump say during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Held

Mon, Apr 6

10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Other

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

11 said 11 not said of 22 words

Not held 17 of 190 past Trump events

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Official transcripts · 567 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said

YES Before startBefore64¢ All9/12 75% Official transcripts89/567 16% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore— All0/1 0% Official transcripts0/567 0% N
NO Before startBefore32¢ All9/27 33% Official transcripts50/567 9% N Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore19¢ All119/156 76% Official transcripts338/567 60% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore19¢ All67/90 74% Official transcripts272/567 48% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore89¢ All6/10 60% Official transcripts79/567 14% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All4/13 31% Official transcripts10/567 2% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore24¢ All72/130 55% Official transcripts158/567 28% Y N Y N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All16/31 52% Official transcripts172/567 30% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All33/46 72% Official transcripts205/567 36% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All1/2 50% Official transcripts8/567 1% N Y
NO Before startBefore62¢ All1/2 50% Official transcripts41/567 7% Y N
YES Before startBefore36¢ All0/1 0% Official transcripts16/567 3% N
YES Before startBefore35¢ All1/1 100% Official transcripts29/567 5% Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All5/9 56% Official transcripts101/567 18% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore34¢ All12/16 75% Official transcripts234/567 41% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore12¢ All— Official transcripts13/567 2% —
YES Before startBefore61¢ All— Official transcripts20/567 4% —
YES Before startBefore32¢ All2/2 100% Official transcripts416/567 73% Y Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All20/61 33% Official transcripts68/567 12% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore9¢ All10/25 40% Official transcripts93/567 16% N Y N N Y
NO Before startBefore11¢ All8/27 30% Official transcripts92/567 16% N Y N Y Y

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official transcripts: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO). Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The White House Easter Egg Roll, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the The White House Easter Egg Roll will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker