mentions

Trump delivers Remarks at the NRCC Annual Fundraising Dinner

What will Trump say during his remarks at the Republican Committee Dinner?

Held

Wed, Mar 25

7:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks at the National Republican Congressional Committee Annual Fundraising Dinner

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Also now Trump +2 later

23 said 16 not said of 39 words

Not held 16 of 181 past Trump events, 8 of 108 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 291 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore70¢ All22/57 39% Speeches / ceremonies12/33 36% Official speeches / ceremonies33/291 11% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore41¢ All19/37 51% Speeches / ceremonies15/24 63% Official speeches / ceremonies90/291 31% N N N Y Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies20/291 7% N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All114/149 77% Speeches / ceremonies67/90 74% Official speeches / ceremonies186/291 64% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All2/2 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies41/291 14% Y Y
NO Before startBefore87¢ All62/92 67% Speeches / ceremonies38/58 66% Official speeches / ceremonies151/291 52% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore8¢ All4/90 4% Speeches / ceremonies4/58 7% Official speeches / ceremonies15/291 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All27/42 64% Speeches / ceremonies15/26 58% Official speeches / ceremonies37/291 13% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All42/60 70% Speeches / ceremonies28/39 72% Official speeches / ceremonies172/291 59% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore85¢ All9/19 47% Speeches / ceremonies5/14 36% Official speeches / ceremonies94/291 32% Y N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore55¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies7/291 2% —
YES Before startBefore86¢ All0/1 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies117/291 40% N
NO Before startBefore76¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/5 60% Official speeches / ceremonies97/291 33% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All0/7 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/5 0% Official speeches / ceremonies1/291 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All69/123 56% Speeches / ceremonies49/74 66% Official speeches / ceremonies110/291 38% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore97¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies29/291 10% Y Y Y N Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All31/43 72% Speeches / ceremonies19/28 68% Official speeches / ceremonies101/291 35% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore72¢ All2/5 40% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies80/291 27% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore29¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies6/291 2% —
NO Before startBefore69¢ All3/4 75% Speeches / ceremonies3/4 75% small n Official speeches / ceremonies81/291 28% Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All5/5 100% Speeches / ceremonies4/4 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies15/291 5% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/9 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/7 0% Official speeches / ceremonies0/291 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All4/5 80% Speeches / ceremonies2/3 67% small n Official speeches / ceremonies64/291 22% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore34¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies1/4 25% small n Official speeches / ceremonies14/291 5% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore42¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies38/291 13% N Y Y
NO Before startBefore47¢ All5/8 63% Speeches / ceremonies4/5 80% Official speeches / ceremonies73/291 25% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore69¢ All4/8 50% Speeches / ceremonies3/6 50% Official speeches / ceremonies41/291 14% Y N N Y N
YES Before startBefore88¢ All13/32 41% Speeches / ceremonies6/18 33% Official speeches / ceremonies96/291 33% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore78¢ All20/42 48% Speeches / ceremonies10/25 40% Official speeches / ceremonies71/291 24% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore15¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies2/291 1% N N
YES Before startBefore86¢ All18/55 33% Speeches / ceremonies8/29 28% Official speeches / ceremonies37/291 13% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All5/11 45% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies35/291 12% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore72¢ All19/34 56% Speeches / ceremonies14/26 54% Official speeches / ceremonies66/291 23% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All71/99 72% Speeches / ceremonies45/59 76% Official speeches / ceremonies163/291 56% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies59/291 20% —
YES Before startBefore86¢ All6/23 26% Speeches / ceremonies4/16 25% Official speeches / ceremonies56/291 19% Y Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore91¢ All56/70 80% Speeches / ceremonies39/46 85% Official speeches / ceremonies162/291 56% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore92¢ All18/29 62% Speeches / ceremonies11/14 79% Official speeches / ceremonies170/291 58% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore84¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies3/7 43% Official speeches / ceremonies75/291 26% N Y Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at the NRCC Annual Fundraising Dinner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Remarks at the NRCC Annual Fundraising Dinner will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Remarks at the NRCC Annual Fundraising Dinner will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker