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Trump holds a Cabinet Meeting

What will Trump say during his Cabinet Meeting?

Held

Thu, Mar 26

10:00 AM ET /

Trump

Meeting

Official transcript Remarks in a Cabinet Meeting and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now JD Vance +1 later

18 said 11 not said of 29 words

Not held 16 of 182 past Trump events, 5 of 31 meetings

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Meetings Official meetings · 95 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore42¢ All1/2 50% Meetings— Official meetings7/95 7% N Y
YES Before startBefore93¢ All115/150 77% Meetings22/24 92% Official meetings63/95 66% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore5¢ All4/91 4% Meetings0/14 0% Official meetings1/95 1% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore93¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings77/95 81% —
YES Before startBefore34¢ All28/43 65% Meetings6/6 100% Official meetings13/95 14% Y Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore38¢ All1/5 20% Meetings0/1 0% small n Official meetings0/95 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore62¢ All10/20 50% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings30/95 32% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore64¢ All4/9 44% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings29/95 31% N Y N N Y
YES Before startBefore28¢ All0/8 0% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings1/95 1% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore47¢ All70/124 56% Meetings9/22 41% Official meetings18/95 19% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings20/95 21% —
YES Before startBefore58¢ All2/6 33% Meetings— Official meetings32/95 34% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All1/4 25% Meetings— Official meetings18/95 19% N Y N N
NO Before startBefore9¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/95 0% —
NO Before startBefore68¢ All0/1 0% Meetings— Official meetings5/95 5% N
YES Before startBefore75¢ All5/6 83% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings28/95 29% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore82¢ All14/33 42% Meetings4/6 67% Official meetings32/95 34% Y Y N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All21/43 49% Meetings3/6 50% Official meetings13/95 14% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore84¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/95 0% —
YES Before startBefore93¢ All19/56 34% Meetings8/15 53% Official meetings12/95 13% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore47¢ All6/12 50% Meetings— Official meetings10/95 11% Y Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore50¢ All20/35 57% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings14/95 15% Y N N N N
YES Before startBefore37¢ All8/20 40% Meetings1/1 100% small n Official meetings12/95 13% Y Y N N N
YES Before startBefore73¢ All72/100 72% Meetings16/20 80% Official meetings56/95 59% Y N N N Y
NO Before startBefore50¢ All3/7 43% Meetings0/2 0% small n Official meetings10/95 11% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore29¢ All2/11 18% Meetings1/2 50% small n Official meetings10/95 11% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore85¢ All19/30 63% Meetings5/8 63% Official meetings55/95 58% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore17¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/95 0% —
NO Before startBefore74¢ All— Meetings— Official meetings0/95 0% —

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official meetings: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Meetings. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Cabinet Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Cabinet Meeting will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Cabinet Meeting will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify.
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is or is not present during a livestream, and does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker