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Trump participates in a signing ceremony

What will Trump say during the Signing Ceremony?

Held

Wed, Jan 14

2:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act of 2025 and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Word matrix Ask AI about this event
Also now +1 later

11 said 12 not said of 23 words

Not held 11 of 129 past Trump events, 7 of 75 speeches / ceremonies

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Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 250 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore54¢ All12/28 43% Speeches / ceremonies8/15 53% Official speeches / ceremonies25/250 10% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore79¢ All88/106 83% Speeches / ceremonies50/61 82% Official speeches / ceremonies162/250 65% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore90¢ All— Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies52/250 21% —
NO Before startBefore49¢ All0/4 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/3 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/250 3% N N N N
YES Before startBefore66¢ All48/69 70% Speeches / ceremonies32/46 70% Official speeches / ceremonies134/250 54% Y Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All1/3 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies63/250 25% N Y N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All2/49 4% Speeches / ceremonies2/30 7% Official speeches / ceremonies12/250 5% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore84¢ All40/54 74% Speeches / ceremonies24/32 75% Official speeches / ceremonies127/250 51% N Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore36¢ All14/19 74% Speeches / ceremonies8/13 62% Official speeches / ceremonies27/250 11% Y Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies— Official speeches / ceremonies40/250 16% N N
YES Before startBefore74¢ All1/4 25% Speeches / ceremonies0/1 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies7/250 3% N N Y N
NO Before startBefore58¢ All2/3 67% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies121/250 48% N Y Y
YES Before startBefore41¢ All49/83 59% Speeches / ceremonies36/48 75% Official speeches / ceremonies93/250 37% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore54¢ All3/7 43% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies73/250 29% Y Y Y N N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All11/13 85% Speeches / ceremonies5/6 83% Official speeches / ceremonies76/250 30% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore30¢ All4/22 18% Speeches / ceremonies2/11 18% Official speeches / ceremonies5/250 2% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore81¢ All0/2 0% Speeches / ceremonies0/2 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies16/250 6% N N
NO Before startBefore60¢ All35/50 70% Speeches / ceremonies18/27 67% Official speeches / ceremonies79/250 32% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore49¢ All2/6 33% Speeches / ceremonies1/2 50% small n Official speeches / ceremonies13/250 5% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore52¢ All3/8 38% Speeches / ceremonies2/5 40% Official speeches / ceremonies43/250 17% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore28¢ All1/5 20% Speeches / ceremonies0/4 0% small n Official speeches / ceremonies27/250 11% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore62¢ All38/43 88% Speeches / ceremonies24/26 92% Official speeches / ceremonies137/250 55% Y Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore59¢ All14/23 61% Speeches / ceremonies8/9 89% Official speeches / ceremonies138/250 55% Y Y N Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Standard rules for this series.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Signing Ceremony on January 14th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Signing Ceremony on January 14th will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Signing Ceremony on January 14th will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. Additional content not included in the original broadcast or stream will not count. Previous recordings aired during this event will not count. If this event is not opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event this market will resolve to no.

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