mentions

Trump holds signing time

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Held

Thu, Aug 27

1:00 PM ET /

Trump

Speech / ceremony

Official transcript Remarks on Signing an Executive Order Honoring the American History of the Great Lakes and Renaming Lake Ontario as Lake America and an Exchange With Reporters

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump +2 later

9 said 17 not said of 26 words

Not held 27 of 311 past Trump events, 12 of 174 speeches / ceremonies

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Speeches / ceremonies Official speeches / ceremonies · 379 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

YES Before startBefore18¢ All15/67 22% Speeches / ceremonies12/38 32% Official speeches / ceremonies62/379 16% Y N N Y N
NO Before startBefore35¢ All49/129 38% Speeches / ceremonies34/70 49% Official speeches / ceremonies118/379 31% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore20¢ All21/62 34% Speeches / ceremonies10/36 28% Official speeches / ceremonies50/379 13% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore44¢ All24/65 37% Speeches / ceremonies17/38 45% Official speeches / ceremonies46/379 12% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore55¢ All192/259 74% Speeches / ceremonies107/147 73% Official speeches / ceremonies242/379 64% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore58¢ All1/1 100% Speeches / ceremonies1/1 100% small n Official speeches / ceremonies106/379 28% Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All8/69 12% Speeches / ceremonies2/32 6% Official speeches / ceremonies30/379 8% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore44¢ All37/58 64% Speeches / ceremonies23/34 68% Official speeches / ceremonies201/379 53% Y Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore25¢ All26/56 46% Speeches / ceremonies14/26 54% Official speeches / ceremonies51/379 13% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore10¢ All9/197 5% Speeches / ceremonies7/115 6% Official speeches / ceremonies19/379 5% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore59¢ All123/177 69% Speeches / ceremonies65/98 66% Official speeches / ceremonies204/379 54% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore30¢ All72/110 65% Speeches / ceremonies45/70 64% Official speeches / ceremonies224/379 59% N Y Y N N
NO Before startBefore45¢ All52/96 54% Speeches / ceremonies30/54 56% Official speeches / ceremonies137/379 36% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore14¢ All9/15 60% Speeches / ceremonies6/12 50% Official speeches / ceremonies60/379 16% Y N Y Y N
YES Before startBefore8¢ All18/63 29% Speeches / ceremonies7/32 22% Official speeches / ceremonies27/379 7% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore36¢ All121/233 52% Speeches / ceremonies87/133 65% Official speeches / ceremonies153/379 40% N N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore50¢ All38/50 76% Speeches / ceremonies19/28 68% Official speeches / ceremonies106/379 28% N Y Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore16¢ All40/78 51% Speeches / ceremonies17/45 38% Official speeches / ceremonies106/379 28% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All15/34 44% Speeches / ceremonies6/14 43% Official speeches / ceremonies88/379 23% Y Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore40¢ All17/39 44% Speeches / ceremonies6/17 35% Official speeches / ceremonies88/379 23% N Y N Y N
YES Before startBefore50¢ All46/77 60% Speeches / ceremonies24/37 65% Official speeches / ceremonies186/379 49% Y Y N Y Y
NO Before startBefore21¢ All21/42 50% Speeches / ceremonies6/15 40% Official speeches / ceremonies37/379 10% Y N Y N Y
YES Before startBefore27¢ All69/135 51% Speeches / ceremonies38/74 51% Official speeches / ceremonies105/379 28% Y N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore50¢ All24/59 41% Speeches / ceremonies17/39 44% Official speeches / ceremonies84/379 22% Y N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore68¢ All113/173 65% Speeches / ceremonies72/102 71% Official speeches / ceremonies207/379 55% N N N N Y
NO Before startBefore24¢ All37/105 35% Speeches / ceremonies21/63 33% Official speeches / ceremonies83/379 22% N Y Y Y N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official speeches / ceremonies: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Speeches / ceremonies. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • Video of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center) using the live broadcast or stream.
  • If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center) will be used.
  • The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
  • Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
  • Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
  • For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
  • For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after August 25th, 2026 at 12:30 pm ET (excluding Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center).
  • Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
  • Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of next White House livestream (excluding Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center), then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

How this is resolved
Video of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center) using the live broadcast or stream.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next White House livestream (excluding Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center) will be used.

Payout Criteria
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
For the purposes of this market, “next White House livestream” refers to the first livestream on the White House main YouTube channel (@WhiteHouse) after August 25th, 2026 at 12:30 pm ET (excluding Remarks at NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center). The livestream will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. If Donald Trump is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the White House ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event.

Doesn't count for payout
Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Cases

All cases of this speaker