mentions

Trump joins Real America’s Voice interview

What will Trump say during his Real America's Voice interview?

Held

Tue, Aug 11

12:00 AM ET /

Trump

Interview

Transcribe Kalshi Ask AI about this event
Also now Trump Trump +1 later

18 said 15 not said of 33 words

Not held 26 of 303 past Trump events, 1 of 39 interviews

Choose events
Word Result Before start All Trump events Interviews Official interviews · 2 Last 5, newest first

Last 5: Said Not said Other format

NO Before startBefore1¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All11/60 18% Interviews0/9 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All48/122 39% Interviews8/23 35% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y Y Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All18/55 33% Interviews0/3 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All23/60 38% Interviews3/10 30% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All187/252 74% Interviews26/35 74% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y N Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All5/12 42% Interviews4/5 80% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All8/63 13% Interviews2/12 17% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All32/52 62% Interviews5/9 56% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All22/50 44% Interviews3/8 38% Official interviews1/2 50% Y N Y Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All9/190 5% Interviews2/31 6% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All119/172 69% Interviews20/25 80% Official interviews1/2 50% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore3¢ All12/32 38% Interviews1/6 17% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N Y N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All48/90 53% Interviews10/17 59% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All0/2 0% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All17/56 30% Interviews1/9 11% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N N N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All4/17 24% Interviews0/6 0% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
NO Before startBefore7¢ All119/227 52% Interviews10/31 32% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore96¢ All34/45 76% Interviews8/10 80% Official interviews0/2 0% Y N N N Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All39/75 52% Interviews11/13 85% Official interviews0/2 0% N N Y N N
NO Before startBefore2¢ All11/27 41% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All21/48 44% Interviews4/7 57% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y N
YES Before startBefore61¢ All16/37 43% Interviews5/8 63% Official interviews1/2 50% N Y N Y Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All40/70 57% Interviews11/15 73% Official interviews0/2 0% N N N Y Y
YES Before startBefore99¢ All— Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% —
YES Before startBefore99¢ All17/36 47% Interviews4/9 44% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y Y Y N
YES Before startBefore98¢ All5/19 26% Interviews0/1 0% small n Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All65/129 50% Interviews14/24 58% Official interviews0/2 0% N Y N N N
YES Before startBefore99¢ All22/56 39% Interviews2/9 22% Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All112/168 67% Interviews13/20 65% Official interviews1/2 50% N N Y Y Y
YES Before startBefore98¢ All32/98 33% Interviews4/14 29% Official interviews1/2 50% N N N Y N
NO Before startBefore1¢ All26/34 76% Interviews3/4 75% small n Official interviews0/2 0% Y Y Y N Y
NO Before startBefore1¢ All0/9 0% Interviews— Official interviews0/2 0% N N N N N

How to read a row

  • k/n: said in k of n past Trump events where the word was a market.
  • Official interviews: said in k of n official White House transcripts of this speaker from before this event, from govinfo.gov. A transcript counts when the word is said at least as many times as the market needs.
  • Said (YES) Not said (NO) Other format than Interviews. Last 5 runs newest first.
  • small n fewer than 5 past events.
  • Your own mark: Y, N or ?, kept only in this browser.

Rules

Full terms (PDF) Settlement sources: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, Politico

Ask AI about these rules

Special for this event

  • For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.

Not in the usual rules of this series: fewer than 1 in 10 of its events of the 60 days before this one had them.

Each market: If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Real America's Voice - America Speaks, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules

Video of the Real America's Voice - America Speaks will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Real America's Voice - America Speaks will be used.

Payout Criterion:
The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
For the purpose of this market, the entirety of content within the original broadcast or release will be used for resolution.
Please see full rules for more details.

Event does not qualify:
If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
The event will resolve based on Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — Donald Trump must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify).

Postponement:
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Cases

All cases of this speaker